Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Cerezo Osaka FC
Sat 8 Jul 2023 · 10:30 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Leo Ceara
Yuki Horigome 64' 1–1
Cayman Togashi 90+3' 2–1
Yuto Iwasaki 39' Y
Yuki Horigome 79' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
4
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
03 Jun Yokohama FC A 2–1 W
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L
30 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
24 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 4–1 W
10 Jun Vissel Kobe H 2–1 W
03 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
28 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Cerezo Osaka FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 13' Brilliant from the ! Leo Ceara makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 13.
  • 18' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordy Croux suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 33' Wataru Harada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 44' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 54' Yuto Iwasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Cayman Togashi comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 64' Yuki Horigome has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' Hikaru Nakahara is replacing Jordy Croux for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 78' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Kakeru Funaki trudges off to be replaced by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 78 minutes.
  • 79' That is a card for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuki Horigome will be fuming at that decision.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ayumu Yokoyama on, Yuji Ono off on 81 minutes.
  • 85' Hinata Kida makes way for Tokuma Suzuki at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryonosuke Kabayama on, Yoichi Naganuma off on 88 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 2-1 Cerezo Osaka FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Mendes 3
Kato Mutsuki 3
Yuta Higuchi 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Hiroaki Okuno 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2
Tokuma Suzuki 2

Head to Head

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-06-10 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-03 Yokohama FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-06-24 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-06-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Vissel Kobe W 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-05-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Yokohama FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw45% Cerezo Osaka FC26%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.