Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 8 Jul 2023 · 10:30 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Leo Ceara
Yuki Horigome 64' 1–1
Cayman Togashi 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
03 Jun Yokohama FC A 2–1 W
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L
30 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
24 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 4–1 W
10 Jun Vissel Kobe H 2–1 W
03 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
28 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 13' GOAL! Leo Ceara fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 18' Jordy Croux has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' Japan international Kakeru Funaki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 39' Yuto Iwasaki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Tokuma Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 62' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Cayman Togashi enters on 62.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuki Horigome makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCHikaru Nakahara on, Jordy Croux off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryosuke Yamanaka is hanging Kakeru Funaki on the field on 78 minute.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 81' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hinata Kida has done his job and it is now time for Tokuma Suzuki to step up.
  • 88' Yoichi Naganuma makes way for Ryonosuke Kabayama at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw45% Cerezo Osaka FC26%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.