Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 8 Jul 2023 · 10:30 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Leo Ceara
Yuki Horigome 64' 1–1
Cayman Togashi 90+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jumpei Iida
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
  • Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
03 Jun Yokohama FC A 2–1 W
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L
30 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
24 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 4–1 W
10 Jun Vissel Kobe H 2–1 W
03 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
28 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Hwang Seokho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 13' Leo Ceara is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
  • 18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 23' Jordy Croux has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' Kosuke Yamazaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' Yuto Iwasaki was booked on 39.
  • 44' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 62 minute.
  • 64' Yuki Horigome does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 69' The energy levels are beginning to show. Akio Kogiku might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 72' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 72 minute. Jordy Croux leaves to be changed by Hikaru Nakahara.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Kakeru Funaki has done his job and it is now time for Ryosuke Yamanaka to step up.
  • 79' Yuki Horigome catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 81' The whistle greets Yuji Ono as he departs to be replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama.
  • 85' Tokuma Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hinata Kida at the 85 minute mark.
  • 88' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yoichi Naganuma has done his job and it is now time for Ryonosuke Kabayama to step up.
  • 2-1 the final result. Cerezo Osaka FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw45% Cerezo Osaka FC26%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.