Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jumpei Iida
- Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
- Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 13' GOAL! Leo Ceara fires home to make it 0-1!
- 18' Jordy Croux has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' Japan international Kakeru Funaki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 38' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
- 39' Yuto Iwasaki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
- 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 49' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Tokuma Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 62' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Cayman Togashi enters on 62.
- 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuki Horigome makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 72' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Hikaru Nakahara on, Jordy Croux off on 72 minutes.
- 77' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 78' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryosuke Yamanaka is hanging Kakeru Funaki on the field on 78 minute.
- 79' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 81' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hinata Kida has done his job and it is now time for Tokuma Suzuki to step up.
- 88' Yoichi Naganuma makes way for Ryonosuke Kabayama at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 81'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 62'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Cayman Togashi 62'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Atsushi Kawata 88'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 62'
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 62'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 88'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 88'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 81'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Satoki Uejo 72'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 72'
- 8
- 3
- 29
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 85'
- 16
- 24
- 1
-
20
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Sota Kitano 78'
Bench
-
6
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 78'
- 22
-
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 85'
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 72'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 72'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 78'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

