Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sat 8 Jul 2023 · 10:30 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 7,762 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 13' Leo Ceara

Yuki Horigome 64' 1–1

Cayman Togashi 90+3' 2–1

Yuto Iwasaki 39' Y

Yuki Horigome 79' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jumpei Iida
Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
Assistant 2 Yusuke Shiotsu

3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
24 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	A	6–0	W
10 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
03 Jun	Yokohama FC	A	2–1	W
27 May	Kashima Antlers	H	2–2	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–2	L
30 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
24 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	4–1	W
10 Jun	Vissel Kobe	H	2–1	W
03 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
28 May	Yokohama FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/5

61-75

5/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	4 G
Pablo Sabbag	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Cerezo Osaka FC get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
13' Magnificent from Leo Ceara! That is 99 goals in 188 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
18' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
23' Taichi Kikuchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 381 games and scored 407 goals.
39' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 39.
44' Hwang Seokho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
49' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
54' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 407 goals from 381 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
59' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
62' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Cayman Togashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
64' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Horigome makes it 1-1.
69' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
72' Hikaru Nakahara is replacing Jordy Croux for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
78' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Ryosuke Yamanaka comes on to replace Kakeru Funaki.
79' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Yuki Horigome gets a card.
81' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Ayumu Yokoyama to step up.
85' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 85 minute. Hinata Kida leaves to be changed by Tokuma Suzuki.
88' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoichi Naganuma at the 88 minute mark.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Yuji Ono ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 81'
20
Hwang Seokho
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 62'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Cayman Togashi 62'
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 88'
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Atsushi Kawata 88'
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 62'
6
Akito Fukuta
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 62'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 88'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 88'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 81'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

6
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 78'
22
Matej Jonjic
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 85'
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 72'
31
Keisuke Shimizu
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 72'
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 78'

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Mendes	3
Kato Mutsuki	3
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Tokuma Suzuki	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-06-10 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-03 Yokohama FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-27 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Kashima Antlers D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-06-24 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-06-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Vissel Kobe W 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-05-28 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Yokohama FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.51 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Cerezo Osaka FC32%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

68%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

58%

Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw45% Cerezo Osaka FC26%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 0

7.1%

0 – 0

0 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.9%

0 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.