Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Dec | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Cerezo Osaka FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Ayumu Yokoyama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leo Ceara, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 35' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' The referee calls foul for Yuki Horigome. He receives a card.
- 46' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Vitor Bueno comes on to replace Shinji Kagawa.
- 48' Against the run of play, Vitor Bueno has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 58' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' The whistle greets Cayman Togashi as he departs to be replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Shibayama. He replaces Jordy Croux on 63 minute.
- 64' Magnificent from Masaya Shibayama! That is 5 goals in 379 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Shota Hino. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 68 minute.
- 73' Kosuke Yamazaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 76' Satoki Uejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ayumu Yokoyama on 76 minute.
- 80' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 83' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Leo Ceara is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
- 85' Masaya Shibayama has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
- 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tae-hyeon Kim is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Marcelo Ryan 59'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Shota Hino 68'
- 28
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Vinicius Araujo 68'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 68'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
- 16
- 23
- 31
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 68'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Masaya Shibayama 63'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 46'
- 25
- 6
- 14
- 10
- 2
- 33
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Capixaba 63'
- 21
Bench
-
27
Capixaba ↑ 63'
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 46'
- 31
- 7
- 17
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 63'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.