Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sun 11 Jun 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 13,992 HT 45' · FT 45'

Mateus pen 45' 1–0

1–1 65' Ryoga Sato pen

Kasper Junker 69' 2–1

Y 19' Hiroyuki Mae

Y 43' Yota Maejima

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2023-06-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-09-03 Avispa Fukuoka 2–3 Nagoya Grampus 2022-05-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-08-22 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-02-28 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
03 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–1	W
27 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
20 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
14 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–2	L
06 May	Gamba Osaka	H	1–0	W

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
03 Jun	Gamba Osaka	H	1–2	L
28 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–2	L
20 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
14 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
07 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka
#3	Position	#10
31	Points	21
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
46	Scored	49
44	Conceded	59
+2	GD	-10
1.72	PPG	1.17
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Avispa Fukuoka for another epic battle.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
13' Yuki Nogami gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yuichi Maruyama and will look to change the dynamic.
18' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
19' Hiroyuki Mae was booked on 19.
24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Masaaki Murakami is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
29' Yuichi Maruyama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
34' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's 4-4-2 shape.
39' Kensuke Nagai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
43' Yota Maejima was booked on 43.
45' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mateus makes it 1-0.
50' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
55' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
65' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryoga Sato makes no mistake. 1-1!
69' Goal! Kasper Junker scores his 42 goal in 61 matches.
73' Ryoga Kida is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
77' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Ryoga Sato by Wellington on 77 minute.
82' Mitch Langerak has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tatsuki Nara suffering a number of foals already.
88' Hiroyuki Mae makes way for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
90' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Takuya Shigehiro on 90 minute.
With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

99
Yosuke Ideguchi
3
Tatsuki Nara
16
Itsuki Oda
8
Kazuya Konno
9
Lukian
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Masato Yuzawa 77'
31
Masaaki Murakami
6
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 88'
11
Yuya Yamagishi
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 77'
33
Douglas Groli

Bench

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	3
Kensuke Nagai	3
Jakub Swierczok	2
Shinnosuke Nakatani	2
Ryoya Morishita	2
Jordy Croux	2
Wellington	1
Kasper Junker	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-06-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-05-27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-05-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Gamba Osaka W

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-06-11 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-06-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka L 2023-05-28 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-05-20 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.27 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus66% Draw17% Avispa Fukuoka17%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 5.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

82%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

34%

Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus50% Draw31% Avispa Fukuoka19%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

6.3%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

4 – 1

5.1%

4 – 2

4.7%

1 – 1

4.3%

3 – 3

3.6%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 2

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

5 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	29%	—	71%
-2	29%	17%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	18%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	10%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.