Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 11 Jun 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 13,992 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateus pen 45' 1–0
1–1 65' Ryoga Sato pen
Kasper Junker 69' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
03 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–1 W
27 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
20 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 May Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
06 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
03 Jun Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
28 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
20 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
14 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Avispa Fukuoka
#3 Position #10
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 49
44 Conceded 59
+2 GD -10
1.72 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Avispa Fukuoka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The 28-year-old Kazuya Konno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' The crowd applauds Yuichi Maruyama as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Nogami steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 18' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Hiroyuki Mae is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 19.
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryoya Morishita made 279 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 43.
  • 45' GOAL! Mateus scores on 45.
  • 50' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' Mitch Langerak has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' Denmark international Kasper Junker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 65' What an equalizer from Ryoga Sato!
  • 69' Kasper Junker puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
  • 73' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryoga Kida is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Ryoga Sato has done his job and it is now time for Wellington to step up.
  • 82' Tatsuki Nara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 87' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 88' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 88 minute. Hiroyuki Mae leaves to be changed by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
  • 90' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 90 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Takuya Shigehiro.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus66% Draw17% Avispa Fukuoka17%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus50% Draw31% Avispa Fukuoka19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 17% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 18% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.