Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 11 Jun 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 13,992 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateus pen 45' 1–0
1–1 65' Ryoga Sato pen
Kasper Junker 69' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
03 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–1 W
27 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
20 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 May Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
06 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
03 Jun Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
28 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
20 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
14 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Avispa Fukuoka
#3 Position #10
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 49
44 Conceded 59
+2 GD -10
1.72 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 13' Yuki Nogami gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yuichi Maruyama and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 19' That is a card for Avispa Fukuoka. Hiroyuki Mae will be fuming at that decision.
  • 24' Yosuke Ideguchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 317 appearances.
  • 29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Magnificent from Mateus! That is 40 goals in 443 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hiroyuki Mae is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 55' Nagoya Grampus have won 402 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' GOAL! Ryoga Sato scores on 65.
  • 69' Magnificent from Kasper Junker! That is 42 goals in 63 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 73' Ryoga Kida gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Ryoga Sato is replaced by Wellington.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Kennedy Egbus Mikuni on, Hiroyuki Mae off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kasper Junker has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Shigehiro to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus66% Draw17% Avispa Fukuoka17%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus50% Draw31% Avispa Fukuoka19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 17% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 18% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.