Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 59 |
| +2 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's 4-4-2 shape.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 13' Yuki Nogami gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yuichi Maruyama and will look to change the dynamic.
- 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' That is a card for Avispa Fukuoka. Hiroyuki Mae will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' Yosuke Ideguchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 317 appearances.
- 29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 39' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 43' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' Magnificent from Mateus! That is 40 goals in 443 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hiroyuki Mae is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 55' Nagoya Grampus have won 402 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 65' GOAL! Ryoga Sato scores on 65.
- 69' Magnificent from Kasper Junker! That is 42 goals in 63 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 73' Ryoga Kida gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Ryoga Sato is replaced by Wellington.
- 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 88' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Kennedy Egbus Mikuni on, Hiroyuki Mae off on 88 minutes.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kasper Junker has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Shigehiro to step up.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 73'
- 1
- 15
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↓ Yuki Nogami 13'
- 13
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 13'
- 5
- 16
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 90'
- 24
- –
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 73'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 16
- 8
- 9
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Masato Yuzawa 77'
- 31
- 6
- 11
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 77'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 77'
- 1
- 14
- 10
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 77'
- 26
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 88'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

