Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 59 |
| +2 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Avispa Fukuoka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuki Nogami on, Yuichi Maruyama off on 13 minutes.
- 18' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' Poor challenge from Hiroyuki Mae. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 24' Brazil international Mateus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 29' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 213 games and scored 224 goals.
- 39' Sho Inagaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 43' That is a card for Avispa Fukuoka. Yota Maejima will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' GOAL! Mateus scores on 45.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' A stunning finish from Ryoga Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 69' What composure from Kasper Junker! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 73' Ryoga Kida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kensuke Nagai at the 73 minute mark.
- 77' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Ryoga Sato departs to be replaced by Wellington.
- 82' The 29-year-old Ryoya Morishita has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 88' Hiroyuki Mae makes way for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 90' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kasper Junker exits the field as Takuya Shigehiro enters on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Nagoya Grampus take all three points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 73'
- 1
- 15
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↓ Yuki Nogami 13'
- 13
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 13'
- 5
- 16
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 90'
- 24
- –
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 73'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 16
- 8
- 9
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Masato Yuzawa 77'
- 31
- 6
- 11
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 77'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 77'
- 1
- 14
- 10
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 77'
- 26
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 88'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Yutaka Yoshida | 1 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

