Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 59 |
| +2 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Avispa Fukuoka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' The 28-year-old Kazuya Konno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' The crowd applauds Yuichi Maruyama as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Nogami steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 18' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 19' The referee has no hesitation. Hiroyuki Mae is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 19.
- 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 29' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's 4-4-2 shape.
- 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryoya Morishita made 279 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 43.
- 45' GOAL! Mateus scores on 45.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
- 55' Mitch Langerak has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' Denmark international Kasper Junker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 65' What an equalizer from Ryoga Sato!
- 69' Kasper Junker puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
- 73' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryoga Kida is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 73 minute.
- 77' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Ryoga Sato has done his job and it is now time for Wellington to step up.
- 82' Tatsuki Nara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 87' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 88' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 88 minute. Hiroyuki Mae leaves to be changed by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
- 90' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 90 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Takuya Shigehiro.
- Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryoga Kida 73'
- 1
- 15
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↓ Yuki Nogami 13'
- 13
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 13'
- 5
- 16
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 90'
- 24
- –
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 73'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 16
- 8
- 9
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Masato Yuzawa 77'
- 31
- 6
- 11
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 77'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 77'
- 1
- 14
- 10
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 77'
- 26
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 88'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Shuhei Tokumoto | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

