Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 11 Jun 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 13,992 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateus pen 45' 1–0
1–1 65' Ryoga Sato pen
Kasper Junker 69' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Toshiyuki Tanaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
03 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–1 W
27 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
20 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 May Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
06 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
03 Jun Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
28 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
20 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
14 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Avispa Fukuoka
#3 Position #10
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 49
44 Conceded 59
+2 GD -10
1.72 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Avispa Fukuoka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuki Nogami on, Yuichi Maruyama off on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 19' Poor challenge from Hiroyuki Mae. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 24' Brazil international Mateus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 213 games and scored 224 goals.
  • 39' Sho Inagaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
  • 43' That is a card for Avispa Fukuoka. Yota Maejima will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' GOAL! Mateus scores on 45.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' A stunning finish from Ryoga Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' What composure from Kasper Junker! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 73' Ryoga Kida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kensuke Nagai at the 73 minute mark.
  • 77' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Ryoga Sato departs to be replaced by Wellington.
  • 82' The 29-year-old Ryoya Morishita has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' Hiroyuki Mae makes way for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 90' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kasper Junker exits the field as Takuya Shigehiro enters on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Nagoya Grampus take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus66% Draw17% Avispa Fukuoka17%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
82%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
34%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus50% Draw31% Avispa Fukuoka19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 17% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 18% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.