Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Tokushima Vortis | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | Oita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Vegalta Sendai | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Avispa Fukuoka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
- 15' Tatsuki Nara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Yuta Higuchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masato Yuzawa made 200 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Hwang Seokho has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 367 appearances.
- 41' Brilliant from the ! Juanma makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 41.
- 45' Yuta Higuchi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 46' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Hwang Seokho exits the field as Toshio Shimakawa enters on 46.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
- 56' Avispa Fukuoka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 60' Noriyoshi Sakai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Yamashita on 60 minute.
- 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Juanma.
- 63' Juanma catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
- 68' Yuya Yamagishi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 69' The Japan Yuya Yamagishi breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 3-0!
- 70' The crowd applauds Juanma as he leaves the pitch. Daiki Watari steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 74' A moment of madness from Takeshi Kanamori on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
- 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Takeshi Kanamori.
- 75' The crowd applauds Takeshi Kanamori as he leaves the pitch. Sotan Tanabe steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 76' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Sotan Tanabe on, Takeshi Kanamori off on 76 minutes.
- 81' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Yuya Yamagishi has done his job and it is now time for John Mary to step up.
- 85' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Taro Sugimoto exits the field as Jordy Croux enters on 85.
- 87' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Ayumu Ohata is withdrawn and Shinya Nakano gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Avispa Fukuoka.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 39
-
9
Juanma ↓ Daiki Watari 70'
- 5
-
37
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Sotan Tanabe 75'
- 3
-
8
Taro Sugimoto ↓ Jordy Croux 84'
- 13
- 31
- 6
- 7
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ John Mary 84'
Bench
- 33
-
14
Jordy Croux ↑ 84'
-
19
Sotan Tanabe ↑ 75'
-
17
Daiki Watari ↑ 70'
- 41
-
30
John Mary ↑ 84'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 84'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 46'
- 13
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↓ Nanasei Iino 70'
- 10
- 40
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 87'
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 70'
- 44
- 9
Bench
- 1
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 70'
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 46'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 87'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 60'
-
24
Nanasei Iino ↑ 70'
- 30
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
84%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
42%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
2 – 0
12.7%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.