Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Tokushima Vortis | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Vegalta Sendai | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Sweden international Emil Salomonsson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Eduardo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 443 appearances.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 41' Juanma makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Avispa Fukuoka are in front.
- 45' Yuta Higuchi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Toshio Shimakawa gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hwang Seokho and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Tatsuki Nara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 60' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noriyoshi Sakai is hanging Keita Yamashita on the field on 60 minute.
- 61' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Juanma.
- 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Juanma.
- 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuya Yamagishi makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Yuya Yamagishi gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 70' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Daiki Watari comes on to replace Juanma.
- 74' Takeshi Kanamori is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
- 75' Takeshi Kanamori is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 75' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Takeshi Kanamori by Sotan Tanabe on 75 minute.
- 76' Sotan Tanabe gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Takeshi Kanamori and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 84' Yuya Yamagishi makes way for John Mary at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 85' Taro Sugimoto makes way for Jordy Croux at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 87' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Ayumu Ohata is withdrawn and Shinya Nakano gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Avispa Fukuoka take all three points.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 39
-
9
Juanma ↓ Daiki Watari 70'
- 5
-
37
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Sotan Tanabe 75'
- 3
-
8
Taro Sugimoto ↓ Jordy Croux 84'
- 13
- 31
- 6
- 7
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ John Mary 84'
Bench
- 33
-
14
Jordy Croux ↑ 84'
-
19
Sotan Tanabe ↑ 75'
-
17
Daiki Watari ↑ 70'
- 41
-
30
John Mary ↑ 84'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 84'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 46'
- 13
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↓ Nanasei Iino 70'
- 10
- 40
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 87'
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 70'
- 44
- 9
Bench
- 1
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 70'
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 46'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 87'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 60'
-
24
Nanasei Iino ↑ 70'
- 30
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
84%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
42%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
2 – 0
12.7%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

