Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Vissel Kobe

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 16 Jul 2023 · 10:00 UTC NOEVIR Stadium Kobe 19,893 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 51' Cayman Togashi pen

Yuya Osako 53' 1–1

Jean Patric 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe.

Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 2 Haruhiro Otsuka

3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Vissel Kobe 15 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe 2022-07-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Vissel Kobe 2022-05-14 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
07 Jul	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
25 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W
10 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
27 May	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
24 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	A	6–0	W
10 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
03 Jun	Yokohama FC	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/6

76+

7/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

Yuya Osako	6 G
Yoshinori Muto	4 G	2 A
Ren Komatsu	3 G
Katsuya Nagato	2 G	1 A
Yuta Goke	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds NOEVIR Stadium Kobe will turn into a battlefield for Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Vissel Kobe currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vissel Kobe that had 457 games and scored 488 goals.
20' Gotoku Sakai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Vissel Kobe side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
40' Vissel Kobe is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kentaro Moriya departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
51' Magnificent from Cayman Togashi! That is 12 goals in 450 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuya Osako makes it 1-1.
58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
63' Vissel Kobe have won 488 goals from 457 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
66' The whistle greets Koya Yuruki as he departs to be replaced by Jean Patric.
71' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kohei Tezuka is withdrawn and Naoyuki Fujita gets his opportunity.
76' It looks like no one’s ball. Vissel Kobe is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
77' Nanasei Iino gets the nod from Vissel Kobe. He replaces Yuki Honda and will look to change the dynamic.
79' The whistle greets Yuji Ono as he departs to be replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama.
82' Jean Patric doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
84' Akito Fukuta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wataru Harada on 84 minute.
89' Kohei Tezuka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Vissel Kobe tonight.
90' Another change for Vissel Kobe made on 90 minute. Yoshinori Muto leaves to be changed by Toya Izumi.
Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Vissel Kobe were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Vissel Kobe Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takahiro Ogihara
25
Leo Osaki ↑ 77'
26
Jean Patric ↑ 66'
21
Shuhei Kawasaki
2
Nanasei Iino ↑ 77'
28
Yuya Tsuboi
27
Toya Izumi ↑ 90'

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 84'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 71'
25
Yuta Fujihara
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 79'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 79'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kyogo Furuhashi	4
Iniesta	3
Yoshinori Muto	3
Hotaru Yamaguchi	3
Douglas	2
Yuya Osako	2
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Kyosuke Tagawa	1

Head to Head

Vissel Kobe Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-07-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Vissel Kobe W 2023-07-01 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Vissel Kobe W 2023-06-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-05-27 Vissel Kobe 3–2 FC Tōkyō W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-06-10 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-03 Yokohama FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 Vissel Kobe xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe49% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Vissel Kobe or Draw

74%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Vissel Kobe or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe31% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

7.1%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vissel Kobe

Handicap	Vissel Kobe covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.