Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Vissel Kobe

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 16 Jul 2023 · 10:00 UTC NOEVIR Stadium Kobe 19,893 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 51' Cayman Togashi pen

Yuya Osako 53' 1–1

Jean Patric 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe.

Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 2 Haruhiro Otsuka

8 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Vissel Kobe 15 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe 2022-07-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Vissel Kobe 2022-05-14 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
07 Jul	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
25 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W
10 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
27 May	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
24 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	A	6–0	W
10 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
03 Jun	Yokohama FC	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

3/4

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to NOEVIR Stadium Kobe that hosts another battle between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Vissel Kobe have won 467 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Vissel Kobe are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' Japan international Mitsuki Saito has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
40' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Cayman Togashi comes on to replace Kentaro Moriya.
51' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Cayman Togashi makes no mistake. 0-1!
53' A stunning finish from Yuya Osako — that came from absolutely nowhere!
58' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
63' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
66' The supporters are chanting for Jean Patric. He replaces Koya Yuruki on 66 minute.
71' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoyuki Fujita is hanging Kohei Tezuka on the field on 71 minute.
76' It is a cagey affair so far. Vissel Kobe in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
77' Yuki Honda makes way for Nanasei Iino at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Vissel Kobe.
79' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Ayumu Yokoyama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
82' Jean Patric adds to his 0 season tally! Vissel Kobe lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
84' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Wataru Harada departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
90' Vissel Kobe ring the changes. Yoshinori Muto has done his job and it is now time for Toya Izumi to step up.
Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Vissel Kobe were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Vissel Kobe Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takahiro Ogihara
25
Leo Osaki ↑ 77'
26
Jean Patric ↑ 66'
21
Shuhei Kawasaki
2
Nanasei Iino ↑ 77'
28
Yuya Tsuboi
27
Toya Izumi ↑ 90'

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 84'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 71'
25
Yuta Fujihara
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 79'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 79'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kyogo Furuhashi	4
Iniesta	3
Yoshinori Muto	3
Hotaru Yamaguchi	3
Yuya Osako	2
Douglas	2
Thomas Vermaelen	1
Koya Yuruki	1

Head to Head

Vissel Kobe Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-07-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Vissel Kobe W 2023-07-01 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Vissel Kobe W 2023-06-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-05-27 Vissel Kobe 3–2 FC Tōkyō W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-06-10 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-03 Yokohama FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 Vissel Kobe xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe49% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Vissel Kobe or Draw

74%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Vissel Kobe or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe31% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

7.1%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vissel Kobe

Handicap	Vissel Kobe covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.