Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Vissel Kobe

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 16 Jul 2023 · 10:00 UTC NOEVIR Stadium Kobe 19,893 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 51' Cayman Togashi pen

Yuya Osako 53' 1–1

Jean Patric 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe.

Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 2 Haruhiro Otsuka

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Vissel Kobe 15 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe 2022-07-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Vissel Kobe 2022-05-14 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-30 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
07 Jul	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
01 Jul	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
25 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W
10 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
27 May	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–2	L
24 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	A	6–0	W
10 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D
03 Jun	Yokohama FC	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vissel Kobe

Yuya Osako	3 G
Katsuya Nagato	2 G	1 A
Yuta Goke	2 G
Yoshinori Muto	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Vissel Kobe have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yoichi Naganuma suffering a number of foals already.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
40' Vissel Kobe is showing some good football. However, Vissel Kobe are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
45' Vissel Kobe are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 46 minute.
51' Brilliant from the ! Cayman Togashi makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 51.
53' GOAL! Yuya Osako scores on 53.
58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
66' Another substitution for Vissel Kobe to replace Koya Yuruki by Jean Patric on 66 minute.
71' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Naoyuki Fujita on, Kohei Tezuka off on 71 minutes.
76' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
77' Vissel Kobe manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nanasei Iino is hanging Yuki Honda on the field on 77 minute.
79' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
82' The deadlock is broken! Jean Patric gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
84' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 84 minute. Wataru Harada leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Vissel Kobe must find a spark to ignite this game.
90' Fresh legs for Vissel Kobe! Toya Izumi comes on to replace Yoshinori Muto.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Vissel Kobe to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Vissel Kobe Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

33
Takahiro Ogihara
25
Leo Osaki ↑ 77'
26
Jean Patric ↑ 66'
21
Shuhei Kawasaki
2
Nanasei Iino ↑ 77'
28
Yuya Tsuboi
27
Toya Izumi ↑ 90'

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 84'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 71'
25
Yuta Fujihara
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 79'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 79'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kyogo Furuhashi	4
Iniesta	3
Yoshinori Muto	3
Hotaru Yamaguchi	3
Douglas	2
Yuya Osako	2
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Kyosuke Tagawa	1

Head to Head

Vissel Kobe Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-07-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Vissel Kobe W 2023-07-01 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-25 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Vissel Kobe W 2023-06-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Vissel Kobe L 2023-05-27 Vissel Kobe 3–2 FC Tokyo W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-06-10 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-06-03 Yokohama FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 Vissel Kobe xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe49% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Vissel Kobe win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Vissel Kobe or Draw

74%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Vissel Kobe or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Vissel Kobe31% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

7.1%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Vissel Kobe

Handicap	Vissel Kobe covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.