Cerezo Osaka FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hayato Shimizu
- Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 48 | Scored | 49 |
| 38 | Conceded | 59 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 61% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Cerezo Osaka FC get us underway at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- 5' Hiroyuki Mae needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 7' Ryoga Sato is replacing Kazuya Konno for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 12' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 17' With 2 assists to his name this season, Mutsuki Kato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 22' Lukian adds to his 0 season tally! Avispa Fukuoka lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Capixaba made 176 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' Sota Kitano, a Japan , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masaaki Murakami suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroyuki Mae on 54.
- 59' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
- 64' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Hikaru Nakahara comes on to replace Jordy Croux.
- 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
- 77' Satoki Uejo is replacing Mutsuki Kato for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 78' Seiya Inoue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryoga Sato on 78 minute.
- 83' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hinata Kida has done his job and it is now time for Ryuya Nishio to step up.
- 88' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Lukian is replaced by Wellington.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wellington.
- Avispa Fukuoka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Sota Kitano 77'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 64'
- 8
- 3
- 22
- 29
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Ryuya Nishio 83'
- 24
- 1
-
20
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Satoki Uejo 77'
Bench
- 4
-
6
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 77'
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 83'
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 64'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 77'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 77'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 7
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Ryoga Sato 7'
-
9
Lukian ↓ Wellington 88'
- 29
- 31
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Hisashi Jogo 88'
- 2
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 88'
- 1
- 16
-
10
Hisashi Jogo ↑ 88'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 7'
- 26
- 28
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Masaya Shibayama | 3 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.83
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Avispa Fukuoka
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 19% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
7%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

