Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Fri 30 Jun 2023 · 10:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai 11,786 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Lukian
Y 54' Hiroyuki Mae
Y 90' Wellington

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
24 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 4–1 W
10 Jun Vissel Kobe H 2–1 W
03 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
28 May Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
20 May Shonan Bellmare A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
25 Jun Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
03 Jun Gamba Osaka H 1–2 L
28 May Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
20 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Avispa Fukuoka
#2 Position #10
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
48 Scored 49
38 Conceded 59
+10 GD -10
1.72 PPG 1.17
61% Win % 39%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Cerezo Osaka FC get us underway at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
  • 5' Hiroyuki Mae needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 7' Ryoga Sato is replacing Kazuya Konno for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 12' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 17' With 2 assists to his name this season, Mutsuki Kato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 22' Lukian adds to his 0 season tally! Avispa Fukuoka lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Capixaba made 176 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' Sota Kitano, a Japan , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masaaki Murakami suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroyuki Mae on 54.
  • 59' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Hikaru Nakahara comes on to replace Jordy Croux.
  • 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 77' Satoki Uejo is replacing Mutsuki Kato for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 78' Seiya Inoue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryoga Sato on 78 minute.
  • 83' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hinata Kida has done his job and it is now time for Ryuya Nishio to step up.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Lukian is replaced by Wellington.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wellington.
  • Avispa Fukuoka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.83 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw21% Avispa Fukuoka24%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Avispa Fukuoka
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC46% Draw34% Avispa Fukuoka20%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 19% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 11% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.