Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 1 Jul 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 11,224 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 8' 1–0
1–1 11' Jose Kante
1–2 38' Ken Iwao

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red DiamondsJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Tanaka
  • Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
8 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
03 Jun Yokohama FC A 2–1 W
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
20 May Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
28 Jun Shonan Bellmare H 4–1 W
24 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
11 Jun Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
04 Jun Kashima Antlers H 0–0 D
31 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/
61-75
3/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Urawa Red Diamonds xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC36% Draw30% Urawa Red Diamonds34%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds
64%
Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw50% Urawa Red Diamonds25%
Actual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Urawa Red Diamonds covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.