Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Tanaka
- Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Urawa Red Diamonds for this crunch clash at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- 5' Urawa Red Diamonds fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 8' Assisted by Kohei Tezuka with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yoichi Naganuma makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 11' What a strike from Jose Kante! The score is 1-1.
- 16' Junpei Hayakawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Urawa Red Diamonds's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' Urawa Red Diamonds is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Sensational shot from Ken Iwao. Urawa Red Diamonds is back in the lead.
- 43' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' Japan international Shinzo Koroki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Time for substitution for Urawa Red Diamonds. Toshiki Takahashi is replaced by Takahiro Sekine.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Cayman Togashi to step up.
- 70' Ken Iwao makes way for Junpei Hayakawa at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Urawa Red Diamonds.
- 73' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshiki Narahara is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' It looks surprising Urawa Red Diamonds does not make any changes. Alexander Scholz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 81' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
- 82' Kohei Tezuka makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 85' Atsuki Ito makes way for Yuichi Hirano at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Urawa Red Diamonds.
- 90' The 28-year-old So Kawahara has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Urawa Red Diamonds take all three points.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 65'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 82'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yoshiki Narahara 73'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Atsushi Kawata 81'
- 23
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 65'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 73'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 81'
- 30
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 73'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
-
11
Jose Kante ↓ Shinzo Koroki 56'
- 1
- 28
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Takuya Ogiwara 70'
- 21
- 5
-
19
Ken Iwao ↓ Junpei Hayakawa 70'
-
3
Atsuki Ito ↓ Yuichi Hirano 85'
- 25
- 18
Bench
-
30
Shinzo Koroki ↑ 56'
- 4
-
26
Takuya Ogiwara ↑ 70'
-
14
Takahiro Sekine ↑ 56'
- 12
-
40
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 85'
-
35
Junpei Hayakawa ↑ 70'
Coach
Maciej Skorza
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 3 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Shinzo Koroki | 2 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Yuki Muto | 2 |
| Hideto Takahashi | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Urawa Red Diamonds Form
2023-07-01
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-06-28
Urawa Red Diamonds
4–1
Shonan Bellmare
W
2023-06-24
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-06-11
Yokohama FC
0–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2023-06-04
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
Kashima Antlers
D
2023-05-31
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds
64%
Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Urawa Red Diamonds covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

