Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
- Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Tanaka
- Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
| Matheus Savio | 4 G | |
| Minamino Harumi | 4 G | |
| Takuro Kaneko | 1 G | 5 A |
| Hiiro Komori | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Scholz suffering a number of foals already.
- 8' Against the run of play, Yoichi Naganuma has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 11' Jose Kante adds to his 0 season tally! Urawa Red Diamonds lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 16' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 21' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Urawa Red Diamonds's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 26' Urawa Red Diamonds fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Urawa Red Diamonds's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shusaku Nishikawa made 449 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' Ken Iwao adds to his 0 season tally! Urawa Red Diamonds lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 43' The travelling Urawa Red Diamonds supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' Yuki Horigome is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Urawa Red Diamonds tonight.
- 56' Another change for Urawa Red Diamonds made on 56 minute. Toshiki Takahashi leaves to be changed by Takahiro Sekine.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Cayman Togashi to step up.
- 70' A change in the Urawa Red Diamonds ranks — Ken Iwao exits the field as Junpei Hayakawa enters on 70.
- 73' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuto Iwasaki departs to be replaced by Yoshiki Narahara.
- 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 81' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Atsushi Kawata on, Yuki Horigome off on 81 minutes.
- 82' The crowd applauds Kohei Tezuka as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 85' Urawa Red Diamonds ring the changes. Atsuki Ito has done his job and it is now time for Yuichi Hirano to step up.
- 90' Kohei Tezuka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-2 Urawa Red Diamonds. Honours even.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 65'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 82'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yoshiki Narahara 73'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Atsushi Kawata 81'
- 23
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 65'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 73'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 81'
- 30
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 73'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
-
11
Jose Kante ↓ Shinzo Koroki 56'
- 1
- 28
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Takuya Ogiwara 70'
- 21
- 5
-
19
Ken Iwao ↓ Junpei Hayakawa 70'
-
3
Atsuki Ito ↓ Yuichi Hirano 85'
- 25
- 18
Bench
-
30
Shinzo Koroki ↑ 56'
- 4
-
26
Takuya Ogiwara ↑ 70'
-
14
Takahiro Sekine ↑ 56'
- 12
-
40
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 85'
-
35
Junpei Hayakawa ↑ 70'
Coach
Maciej Skorza
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 3 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Shinzo Koroki | 2 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Yuki Muto | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 1 |
| Kohei Tezuka | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Urawa Red Diamonds Form
2023-07-01
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-06-28
Urawa Red Diamonds
4–1
Shonan Bellmare
W
2023-06-24
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-06-11
Yokohama FC
0–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2023-06-04
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
Kashima Antlers
D
2023-05-31
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.2
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds
64%
Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Urawa Red Diamonds covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.