Saturday , 26 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
CA Mineiro
2 – 1
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Fri 12 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC ARENA MRV 28,772 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eduardo Vargas 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Lucas Moura
Paulinho 45+3' 2–1
Rodrigo Battaglia 9' Y
Hulk 44' Y
R 59' Alan Franco
Y 83' Luiz Gustavo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

9
8
4
CA Mineiro 21 games · Avg 2.1 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC 2023-12-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC 2023-08-06 São Paulo FC 0–2 CA Mineiro 2022-11-02 São Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2022-07-10 CA Mineiro 0–0 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
07 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
04 Jul CR Flamengo H 2–4 L
30 Jun AC Goianiense H 1–1 D
27 Jun SC Internacional A 2–1 W
23 Jun Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
23 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 1–4 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro São Paulo FC
#7 Position #11
40 Points 36
27 Played 27
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
36 Scored 32
32 Conceded 30
+4 GD +2
1.48 PPG 1.33
41% Win % 37%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at ARENA MRV. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 377 games and scored 411 goals.
  • 9' It’s gonna be a card for Rodrigo Battaglia.
  • 13' A stunning finish from Eduardo Vargas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 18' Lucas Moura has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 23' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alan Franco, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wellington Rato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hulk.
  • 48' Sensational shot from Paulinho. CA Mineiro is back in the lead.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' It’s high time Gabriel Milito made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Alan Franco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Scarpa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Luciano has done his job and it is now time for Rodrigo Nestor to step up.
  • 71' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 73' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Eduardo Vargas is replaced by Cadu on 73 minute.
  • 78' Matheus Mendes, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 80' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Igor Vinicius departs to be replaced by Rafinha.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Luiz Gustavo on 83 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Andre Silva comes on to replace Jonathan Calleri.
  • 90' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Paulinho is replaced by Brahian Palacios.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Paulinho 4
Luciano 3
Jonathan Calleri 2
Hulk 2
Igor Gomes 2
Jair 2
Alan Franco 2

Head to Head

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC 2023-12-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC 2023-08-06 São Paulo FC 0–2 CA Mineiro 2022-11-02 São Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro 2022-07-10 CA Mineiro 0–0 São Paulo FC

CA Mineiro Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC W 2024-07-07 Botafogo FR 3–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-07-04 CA Mineiro 2–4 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-30 CA Mineiro 1–1 AC Goianiense D 2024-06-27 SC Internacional 1–2 CA Mineiro W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D

São Paulo FC Form

2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 São Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 São Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 São Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 São Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W 2024-06-23 CR Vasco da Gama 4–1 São Paulo FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro48% Draw26% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
74%
Draw or São Paulo FC
52%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro32% Draw46% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.