Wednesday , 11 November 2026

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 12 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC ARENA MRV 28,772 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eduardo Vargas 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Lucas Moura
Paulinho 45+3' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
07 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
04 Jul CR Flamengo H 2–4 L
30 Jun AC Goianiense H 1–1 D
27 Jun SC Internacional A 2–1 W
23 Jun Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
23 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 1–4 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro São Paulo FC
#7 Position #10
50 Points 44
34 Played 34
14 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
44 Scored 39
40 Conceded 39
+4 GD +0
1.47 PPG 1.29
41% Win % 35%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 9' The referee has no hesitation. Rodrigo Battaglia is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 9.
  • 13' The Chile Eduardo Vargas breaks the deadlock on 13 minutes. 1-0!
  • 18' Lucas Moura adds to his 1 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 23' São Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Luciano scoring 1 goals.
  • 28' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Gustavo Scarpa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 39 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 43' São Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, São Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Paulinho makes it 2-1.
  • 53' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past São Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 58' Andre Silva, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Alan Franco.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Luciano is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor on 66 minute.
  • 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 73' CA Mineiro make a change. Eduardo Vargas trudges off to be replaced by Cadu on 73 minutes.
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and São Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Rafinha. He replaces Igor Vinicius on 80 minute.
  • 83' Luiz Gustavo is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 86' The whistle greets Jonathan Calleri as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 90' Brahian Palacios gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Paulinho and will look to change the dynamic.
  • With this win, CA Mineiro is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro48% Draw26% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
75%
Draw or São Paulo FC
52%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro33% Draw47% São Paulo FC20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.