CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | São Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 49 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 30 |
| +11 | GD | +2 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena da Baixada. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Wellington Rato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' Ferreira adds to his 4 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 38' What composure from Fernandinho! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 43' Welington is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Paranaense so far.
- 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Magnificent from Jonathan Calleri! That is 63 goals in 270 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 66' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Jonathan Calleri gets a card.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Diego Costa. He replaces Igor Vinicius on 66 minute.
- 68' Kaique Rocha is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 68' Madson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leonardo Godoy on 68 minute.
- 69' Emersonn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Zapelli at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Paranaense is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Welington.
- 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Leo Linck.
- 79' Another substitution for CA Paranaense to replace Lucas Esquivel by Mycael on 79 minute.
- 81' Juan Santos gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Lucas Moura and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' Ferreira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- 87' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Ferreira is replaced by Andre Silva on 87 minute.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Patryck. He replaces Welington on 88 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Sao Paulo FC take all three points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 92
- 5
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Madson 68'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Emersonn 69'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 88'
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Mycael 79'
- 24
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 68'
- 3
- 45
- 50
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 69'
-
41
Mycael ↑ 79'
- 6
- 15
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 88'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 68'
- 21
Coach
Juca
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 93
- 5
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Diego Costa 66'
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Juan Santos 81'
- 16
- 9
- 28
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Andre Silva 87'
- 6
- 27
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 87'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 81'
-
36
Patryck ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Diego Costa ↑ 66'
- 50
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 81'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leozinho | 2 |
| Vitor Bueno | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
64%
Draw or São Paulo FC
64%
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

