CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | São Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 54 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 39 |
| 43 | Conceded | 39 |
| +8 | GD | +0 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 44% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Paranaense host Sao Paulo FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 387 games and scored 422 goals.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 30' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' Ferreira puts Sao Paulo FC on the lead.
- 38' A stunning finish from Fernandinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Calleri makes it 1-2.
- 66' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 66' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Igor Vinicius departs to be replaced by Diego Costa.
- 68' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Kaique Rocha gets a card.
- 68' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Madson comes on to replace Leonardo Godoy.
- 69' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Bruno Zapelli is withdrawn and Emersonn gets his opportunity.
- 74' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 75' Poor challenge from Welington. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' Poor challenge from Leo Linck. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 79' CA Paranaense make a change. Lucas Esquivel trudges off to be replaced by Mycael on 79 minutes.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Juan Santos. He replaces Lucas Moura on 81 minute.
- 86' Rodrigo Nestor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 87' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Ferreira gets a card.
- 87' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Andre Silva comes on to replace Ferreira.
- 88' Patryck has so much to prove this time. He replaces Welington on 88 minute.
- Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 92
- 5
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Madson 68'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Emersonn 69'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 88'
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Mycael 79'
- 24
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 68'
- 3
- 45
- 50
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 69'
-
41
Mycael ↑ 79'
- 6
- 15
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 88'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 68'
- 21
Coach
Juca
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 93
- 5
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Diego Costa 66'
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Juan Santos 81'
- 16
- 9
- 28
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Andre Silva 87'
- 6
- 27
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 87'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 81'
-
36
Patryck ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Diego Costa ↑ 66'
- 50
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 81'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leozinho | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Ferreira | 1 |
| Tche Tche | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
64%
Draw or São Paulo FC
65%
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

