Saturday , 26 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2021 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 2 Dec 2021 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec São Paulo FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov EC Bahia A 1–3 L
24 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
20 Nov Chapecoense AF A 3–1 W
16 Nov RB Bragantino H 3–0 W
13 Nov America FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Gremio FBPA A 0–3 L
28 Nov SC Recife H 2–0 W
25 Nov CA Paranaense H 0–0 D
17 Nov SE Palmeiras A 2–0 W
14 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–4 L
11 Nov Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA São Paulo FC
#17 Position #11
29 Points 36
28 Played 27
7 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
30 Scored 32
38 Conceded 30
-8 GD +2
1.04 PPG 1.33
25% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Gremio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Gremio FBPA in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Neves suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 23' What a strike from Thiago Santos! The score is 1-0.
  • 28' Gremio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Juanfran has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Martin Nicolas Benitez as he leaves the pitch. Igor Vinicius steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 51' Lucas Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 56' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 60' Sao Paulo FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Miguel Borja on, Diego Souza off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 68' Brilliant from the ! Diogo Barbosa makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Igor Gomes is replaced by Gabriel Neves on 70 minute.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Rodrigo Nestor as he leaves the pitch. Lizeiro steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Douglas Costa on 74 minutes.
  • 74' Jhonata Robert is replacing Douglas Costa for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Darlan Mendes comes on to replace Ferreira.
  • 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Gabriel Chapeco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Miranda argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 3-0 the final result. Sao Paulo FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA50% Draw27% São Paulo FC23%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
77%
Draw or São Paulo FC
50%
Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA34% Draw48% São Paulo FC18%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.