São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | São Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | CS Cristal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Goiás EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jun | CA River Plate | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 36 | Points | 48 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 32 | Scored | 44 |
| 30 | Conceded | 36 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 37% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Marcelo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 11' Felipe Melo is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
- 16' Samuel Xavier has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 26' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 31' The 24-year-old John Kennedy has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 36' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 41' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 46' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rodrigo Huendra has done his job and it is now time for Wellington Rato to step up.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' A moment of madness from Gabriel Neves on 55 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 58' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Alisson comes on to replace Gabriel Neves.
- 59' Felipe gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Felipe Melo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Gabriel Pirani by Lele on 63 minute.
- 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jhon Arias suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 82' Keno makes way for John Kennedy at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 86' Jhon Arias is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
- 87' Luciano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
- 90' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 90 minute.
- 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Patryck gets a Yellow card.
- The points are shared — Sao Paulo FC 1-0 Fluminense FC. Honours even.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 13
- 28
- 11
- 36
- 29
- 20
- 23
- 18
- 31
Bench
- 22
- 7
- 93
- 8
- 32
- 21
- 27
- 47
- 4
- 34
- 45
- –
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 29
-
30
Felipe Melo ↓ Felipe 59'
- 12
-
11
Keno ↓ John Kennedy 82'
- 14
-
20
Gabriel Pirani ↓ Lele 63'
- 45
- 21
- 8
Bench
- 98
-
23
Guga ↑ 82'
- 10
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 82'
- 22
- –
- 40
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 63'
-
13
Felipe ↑ 59'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| John Kennedy | 2 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
58%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.