Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 1 Jul 2023 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Felipe Melo
Y 86' Jhon Arias
Patryck 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
11 Jun SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
04 Jun Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
28 May Goiás EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul São Paulo FC A 0–1 L
28 Jun CS Cristal H 1–1 D
24 Jun EC Bahia H 2–1 W
22 Jun CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
11 Jun Goiás EC A 2–2 D
08 Jun CA River Plate A 0–2 L

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#10 Position #4
44 Points 57
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
39 Conceded 42
+0 GD +13
1.29 PPG 1.68
35% Win % 47%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC get this one started.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 11' Felipe Melo was booked on 11.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Rodrigo Huendra has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wellington Rato is hanging Rodrigo Huendra on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 387 games and scored 422 goals.
  • 55' Sao Paulo FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 58' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Gabriel Neves trudges off to be replaced by Alisson on 58 minutes.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Felipe Melo as he leaves the pitch. Felipe steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 63' Fluminense FC make a change. Gabriel Pirani trudges off to be replaced by Lele on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 78' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 82' John Kennedy gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Keno and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Jhon Arias argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 87' GOAL! Luciano scores on 87. Assisted by David
  • 90' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 90 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Patryck is booked for Sao Paulo FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC40% Draw29% Fluminense FC31%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Fluminense FC
60%
São Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC26% Draw50% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.