CR Flamengo vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CR Flamengo vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.
- CR Flamengo 28 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | São Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | FC Bayern München | H | 2–4 | L |
| 25 Jun | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jun | Chelsea FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jun | Esperance de Tunis | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–3 | L |
| 31 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CR Flamengo | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #11 |
| 60 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 18 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 55 | Scored | 32 |
| 23 | Conceded | 30 |
| +32 | GD | +2 |
| 2.14 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 64% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season
CR Flamengo this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CR Flamengo are 1st (60 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CR Flamengo
| Pedro | 16 G | 6 A |
| Samuel Lino | 9 G | 7 A |
| Jorge Carrascal | 5 G | 7 A |
| Lucas Paqueta | 5 G | |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Maracana as CR Flamengo face off against Sao Paulo FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' CR Flamengo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 8' Time for substitution for CR Flamengo. Alex Sandro is replaced by Ayrton Lucas.
- 13' The 24-year-old Pablo Maia has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alan Franco suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Damian Bobadilla has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Sandro made 521 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' It’s gonna be a card for Alan Franco.
- 39' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruno Henrique on 41 minutes.
- 46' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Flamengo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 51' Bruno Henrique, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 53' The whistle greets Ayrton Lucas as he departs to be replaced by Guillermo Varela.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Against the run of play, Luiz Araujo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' Ferreira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcos Antonio at the 63 minute mark.
- 66' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Pablo Maia is replaced by Damian Bobadilla on 66 minute.
- 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 76' Jose Sabino is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Flamengo tonight.
- 81' Andre Silva makes way for Ryan Rodrigues at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 82' CR Flamengo ring the changes. Giorgian De Arrascaeta has done his job and it is now time for Yan to step up.
- 83' Another change for CR Flamengo made on 83 minute. Bruno Henrique leaves to be changed by Everton.
- 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. CR Flamengo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' Yan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
CR Flamengo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Giorgian De Arrascaeta ↓ Yan 82'
- 3
- 4
-
21
Jorginho ↓ Nicolas de la Cruz 82'
- 7
- 29
-
26
Alex Sandro ↓ Ayrton Lucas 8'
-
27
Bruno Henrique ↓ Everton 83'
- 1
- 50
- 43
Bench
-
11
Everton ↑ 83'
-
6
Ayrton Lucas ↑ 8'
- 13
- 2
- 30
- 17
- 23
-
18
Nicolas de la Cruz ↑ 82'
- 33
- 25
- 52
-
64
Yan ↑ 82'
Coach
Filipe Luis
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 5
- 6
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↓ Ferreira 63'
- 28
- 35
- 13
-
17
Andre Silva ↓ Ryan Rodrigues 81'
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Damian Bobadilla 66'
- 23
- 8
Bench
- 93
- 33
- 18
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↑ 63'
- 36
- 15
-
21
Damian Bobadilla ↑ 66'
- 43
- 19
-
49
Ryan Rodrigues ↑ 81'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | 6 |
| Luciano | 4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 3 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 3 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 2 |
| Luiz Araujo | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
Head to Head
CR Flamengo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84
CR Flamengo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CR Flamengo to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CR Flamengo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CR Flamengo or Draw
85%
Draw or São Paulo FC
39%
CR Flamengo or São Paulo FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CR Flamengo
| Handicap | CR Flamengo covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.