Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,808 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Fabio Silva
Kylian Mbappe pen 18' 1–1
Brahim Diaz 33' 2–1
Kylian Mbappe 36' 3–1
Rodrygo 57' 4–1
Y 45' Sandro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan UD Las Palmas H 4–1 W
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
12 Jan Getafe CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
15 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–0 D
07 Dec Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
30 Nov FC Barcelona A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and UD Las Palmas.
  • 1' UD Las Palmas is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fabio Silva on 1.
  • 6' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Las Palmas that had 118 games and scored 92 goals.
  • 16' Thibaut Courtois needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 18' Goal! Kylian Mbappe scores his 284 goal in 520 matches.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. UD Las Palmas is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' Brahim Diaz puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 36' Kylian Mbappe with the second goal in the match!
  • 41' Mika Marmol has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 45' It’s a booking for UD Las Palmas player. Sandro gets a card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Benito Ramirez. He replaces Juanma Herzog on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benito Ramirez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 4-1.
  • 58' Another substitution for UD Las Palmas to replace Alex Munoz by Enzo Loiodice on 58 minute.
  • 62' It’s a booking for UD Las Palmas player. Benito Ramirez gets a card.
  • 67' The travelling UD Las Palmas supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 73' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oliver McBurnie is hanging Fabio Silva on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Alaba is hanging Antonio Rudiger on the field on 77 minute.
  • 80' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marc Cardona is hanging Sandro on the field on 80 minute.
  • 83' Chema Andres is replacing Dani Ceballos for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Rodrygo is replaced by Endrick.
  • 87' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 87 minute. Lucas Vazquez leaves to be changed by Loren Aguado.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw22% UD Las Palmas17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
39%
Real Madrid CF or UD Las Palmas
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF43% Draw42% UD Las Palmas15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.