Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,808 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Fabio Silva
Kylian Mbappe pen 18' 1–1
Brahim Diaz 33' 2–1
Kylian Mbappe 36' 3–1
Rodrygo 57' 4–1
Y 45' Sandro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan UD Las Palmas H 4–1 W
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
12 Jan Getafe CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
15 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–0 D
07 Dec Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
30 Nov FC Barcelona A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw22% UD Las Palmas17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
39%
Real Madrid CF or UD Las Palmas
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF43% Draw42% UD Las Palmas15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.