Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,808 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Fabio Silva
Kylian Mbappe pen 18' 1–1
Brahim Diaz 33' 2–1
Kylian Mbappe 36' 3–1
Rodrygo 57' 4–1
Y 45' Sandro

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Alvaro Granel Peiro (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Judit Romano Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan UD Las Palmas H 4–1 W
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
12 Jan Getafe CF H 1–2 L
22 Dec RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–0 W
15 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–0 D
07 Dec Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
30 Nov FC Barcelona A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Real Madrid CF host UD Las Palmas — let the battle begin!
  • 1' Magnificent from Fabio Silva! That is 34 goals in 491 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 6' UD Las Palmas seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 11' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 16' UD Las Palmas is showing some good football. However, UD Las Palmas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' Kylian Mbappe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Jude Bellingham has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 64 cards already picked up this season.
  • 28' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against UD Las Palmas's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 33' Brahim Diaz makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 36' Kylian Mbappe adds to his 13 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sandro on 45.
  • 46' Benito Ramirez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juanma Herzog at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and UD Las Palmas are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 57' Rodrygo adds to his 0 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 58' It is a substitution in UD Las Palmas team. Alex Munoz is replaced by Enzo Loiodice on 58 minute.
  • 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Benito Ramirez.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 72' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-5-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 73' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oliver McBurnie is hanging Fabio Silva on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for David Alaba. He replaces Antonio Rudiger on 77 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for UD Las Palmas to replace Sandro by Marc Cardona on 80 minute.
  • 83' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Dani Ceballos departs to be replaced by Chema Andres.
  • 84' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Rodrygo exits the field as Endrick enters on 84.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Lucas Vazquez is replaced by Loren Aguado.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw22% UD Las Palmas17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
39%
Real Madrid CF or UD Las Palmas
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF43% Draw42% UD Las Palmas15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.