Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu 83,186 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
24 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct CA Osasuna H 4–0 W
03 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–0 D
29 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
22 Oct UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
07 Oct Sevilla FC A 2–2 D
30 Sep RCD Mallorca H 2–2 D
27 Sep Cadiz CF A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4 Position #10
15 Points 8
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 11
8 Conceded 16
+10 GD -5
2.14 PPG 1.14
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.8 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Real Madrid CF to win 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF69% Draw18% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
87%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
31%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF57% Draw34% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
3 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
1 – 1
6.9%
4 – 0
6.3%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
Actual
5 – 0
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 35% — 65%
-2 35% 21% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 20% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
7% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.