Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu 83,186 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Barcelona A 2–1 W
24 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct CA Osasuna H 4–0 W
03 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–0 D
29 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
22 Oct UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
07 Oct Sevilla FC A 2–2 D
30 Sep RCD Mallorca H 2–2 D
27 Sep Cadiz CF A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2 Position #8
86 Points 50
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
77 Scored 41
35 Conceded 44
+42 GD -3
2.26 PPG 1.32
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Real Madrid CF get us underway at Santiago Bernabeu.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Radamel Falcao is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alfonso Espino, as he is very good at scoring at Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Santiago Bernabeu. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Andrei Ratiu.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Luka Modric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 57' That is a Yellow card for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. Pathe Ciss will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Oscar Trejo. He replaces Unai Lopez on 60 minute.
  • 61' The whistle greets Pathe Ciss as he departs to be replaced by Kike Perez.
  • 66' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 69' Rodrygo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Modric on 69 minute.
  • 72' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Toni Kroos is hanging Fran Garcia on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' That is a Yellow card for Real Madrid CF. Vinicius Junior will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Radamel Falcao. He replaces Raul de Tomas on 75 minute.
  • 80' Abdul Mumin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Nacho comes on to replace Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 86' Jorge de Frutos is replacing Isi Palazon for the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side.
  • 88' Oscar Trejo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 88.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Stole Dimitrievski.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF57% Draw26% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
43%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF39% Draw49% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.8%
2 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
52%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.