Thursday , 2 July 2026

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium 8,455 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sam Lavelle og 26' 1–0
1–1 29' Luke Plange
Harvey Knibbs 32' 2–1
Harvey Knibbs 39' 3–1
Lewis Wing 78' 4–1
Femi Azeez 83' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 David Harrison (England)

Head-to-Head

2
1
Reading FC 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Carlisle United FC H 5–1 W
25 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
11 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
07 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC H 3–2 W
28 Oct Portsmouth FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Reading FC A 1–5 L
25 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.69 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Reading FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC66% Draw19% Carlisle United FC15%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
34%
Reading FC or Carlisle United FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC52% Draw35% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Reading FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.