Wednesday , 9 September 2026

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium 8,455 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sam Lavelle og 26' 1–0
1–1 29' Luke Plange
Harvey Knibbs 32' 2–1
Harvey Knibbs 39' 3–1
Lewis Wing 78' 4–1
Femi Azeez 83' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 David Harrison (England)

Head-to-Head

2
1
Reading FC 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Carlisle United FC H 5–1 W
25 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
11 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
07 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC H 3–2 W
28 Oct Portsmouth FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Reading FC A 1–5 L
25 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
5/
46-60
2/2
61-75
/
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 5 G
Jacob Brown 2 G
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Select Car Leasing Stadium that hosts another battle between Reading FC and Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' Carlisle United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 10' Luke Plange has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Garner on 10 minute.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Reading FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Reading FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' Magnificent from Sam Lavelle! That is 8 goals in 98 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Luke Plange makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 32' The England Harvey Knibbs breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 1-2!
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Armer on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' GOAL! Harvey Knibbs scores on 39. Assisted by Lewis Wing
  • 44' Reading FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Edmondson. He replaces Dylan McGeouch on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
  • 54' Jeriel Dorsett was booked on 54.
  • 59' Josh Emmanuel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Reading FC and Carlisle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 69' Tomas Holy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Reading FC so far.
  • 73' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Butterworth is hanging Jack Armer on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Jeriel Dorsett as he departs to be replaced by Ben Elliott.
  • 78' Magnificent from Lewis Wing! That is 48 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 81' The whistle greets Jon Mellish as he departs to be replaced by Alfie McCalmont.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Carlisle United FCSean Maguire on, Jordan Gibson off on 82 minutes.
  • 83' Femi Azeez does the damage! The net is bulging and Reading FC surge ahead!
  • 84' The Reading FC manager makes a substitution. Michael Craig departs to be replaced by Kelvin Ehibhationhan.
  • 86' Reading FC make a change. Andy Yiadom trudges off to be replaced by Tom Holmes on 86 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Reading FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.69 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Reading FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC66% Draw19% Carlisle United FC15%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
34%
Reading FC or Carlisle United FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC52% Draw35% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Reading FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.