Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ross Joyce
- Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
- Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Carlisle United FC to score. At the same time, Burton Albion FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mustapha Carayol, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Daniel Butterworth has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Tom Hamer was booked on 25.
- 28' GOAL! Mark Helm scores on 28. Assisted by Adedeji Oshilaja
- 33' Adedeji Oshilaja needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 36' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Mark Helm gets a card.
- 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Kwadwo Baah is replaced by Rekeem Harper.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' Goal! Jordan Gibson scores his 7 goal in 57 matches.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
- 62' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Gordon is hanging Mustapha Carayol on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 72' The travelling Burton Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Terry Ablade. He replaces Daniel Butterworth on 73 minute.
- 77' The referee calls foul for Joe Garner. He receives a card.
- 81' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Steve Seddon departs to be replaced by Jake Caprice.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 88' GOAL! Joe Garner scores on 88. Assisted by Terry Ablade
- 88' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben Barclay is hanging Fin Back on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Cole Stockton. He replaces Adedeji Oshilaja on 90 minute.
- With this win, Carlisle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 24
- 1
- 8
- 11
- 14
- 5
- 3
-
2
Fin Back ↓ Ben Barclay 88'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
26
Ben Barclay ↑ 88'
- 9
- 17
- 25
- 19
- 27
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 73'
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
- 37
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Jake Caprice 81'
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↓ Josh Gordon 62'
- 1
-
24
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Rekeem Harper 46'
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Josh Walker 46'
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 46'
- 30
-
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 62'
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 46'
-
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 90'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↑ 81'
- 25
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Helm | 1 |
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-21
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-14
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Leyton Orient FC
L
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-10-21
Burton Albion FC
4–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-10-14
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-09
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-10-03
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Wigan Athletic FC
W
2023-09-30
Reading FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
55%
Carlisle United FC or Burton Albion FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burton Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.