Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ross Joyce
- Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
- Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Peterborough United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Brunton Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Carlisle United FC and Burton Albion FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Hamer is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 25.
- 28' Assisted by Adedeji Oshilaja with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mark Helm makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Owen Moxon suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark Helm.
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Rekeem Harper. He replaces Kwadwo Baah on 46 minute.
- 51' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Jordan Gibson does the damage! The net is bulging and Carlisle United FC surge ahead!
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 62 minute. Mustapha Carayol leaves to be changed by Josh Gordon.
- 67' Scotland international Sam Lavelle has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 72' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 73' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Daniel Butterworth has done his job and it is now time for Terry Ablade to step up.
- 77' Carlisle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' Jake Caprice gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Steve Seddon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 88' Against the run of play, Joe Garner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 88' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Ben Barclay comes on to replace Fin Back.
- 90' The crowd applauds Adedeji Oshilaja as he leaves the pitch. Cole Stockton steps in for Burton Albion FC.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Carlisle United FC 2-1 Burton Albion FC.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 24
- 1
- 8
- 11
- 14
- 5
- 3
-
2
Fin Back ↓ Ben Barclay 88'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
26
Ben Barclay ↑ 88'
- 9
- 17
- 25
- 19
- 27
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 73'
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
- 37
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Jake Caprice 81'
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↓ Josh Gordon 62'
- 1
-
24
Kwadwo Baah ↓ Rekeem Harper 46'
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Josh Walker 46'
- 4
- 15
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 46'
- 30
-
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 62'
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 46'
-
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 90'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↑ 81'
- 25
Coach
Dino Maamria
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Helm | 1 |
| Joe Garner | 1 |
| Jordan Gibson | 1 |
| Paul Huntington | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-21
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-14
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Leyton Orient FC
L
2023-10-07
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–3
Carlisle United FC
W
2023-10-03
Carlisle United FC
1–1
Peterborough United FC
D
2023-09-30
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-10-21
Burton Albion FC
4–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-10-14
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-09
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-10-03
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Wigan Athletic FC
W
2023-09-30
Reading FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Carlisle United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carlisle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
55%
Carlisle United FC or Burton Albion FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burton Albion FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.