Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 24 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Brunton Park 6,390 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Mark Helm
Jordan Gibson 53' 1–1
Joe Garner 88' 2–1
Y 25' Tom Hamer
Y 36' Mark Helm
Joe Garner 77' Y
Y 77' Bez Lubala

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–1 L
07 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
03 Oct Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
21 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–1 W
14 Oct Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
09 Oct Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
30 Sep Reading FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Brunton Park as Carlisle United FC face off against Burton Albion FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Carlisle United FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Carlisle United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Hamer on 25 minutes.
  • 28' Brilliant from the ! Mark Helm makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 28.
  • 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Mark Helm gets a card.
  • 41' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 46' Burton Albion FC make a change. Kwadwo Baah trudges off to be replaced by Rekeem Harper on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The 27-year-old Joe Powell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 53' What a moment for Jordan Gibson! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Josh Gordon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 65 appearances.
  • 62' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Mustapha Carayol exits the field as Josh Gordon enters on 62.
  • 67' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' Terry Ablade has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Butterworth on 73 minute.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joe Garner on 77 minutes.
  • 81' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Steve Seddon by Jake Caprice on 81 minute.
  • 86' It’s high time Dino Maamria made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' Goal! Joe Garner scores his 23 goal in 380 matches.
  • 88' A change in the Carlisle United FC ranks — Fin Back exits the field as Ben Barclay enters on 88.
  • 90' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Adedeji Oshilaja exits the field as Cole Stockton enters on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Carlisle United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC45% Draw29% Burton Albion FC26%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
55%
Carlisle United FC or Burton Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC30% Draw50% Burton Albion FC20%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.