Thursday , 2 July 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,838 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Sam Lavelle og

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Woods
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Brunton Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee calls foul for Ben Barclay. He receives a card.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Lavelle, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Garner.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Carlisle United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sam Lavelle on 38.
  • 42' Sean Maguire is replacing Paul Huntington for the Carlisle United FC side.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for George Friend.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 51' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Collins.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luke Plange suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Ryan Woods has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 48 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' John Marquis is replacing Chris Martin for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Terry Ablade. He replaces Joe Garner on 68 minute.
  • 73' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Joshua Grant. He replaces Jack Hunt on 76 minute.
  • 81' Tristan Crama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Bristol Rovers FC team. Aaron Collins is replaced by Jevani Brown on 84 minute.
  • 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
  • 90' Jordan Gibson was booked on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC30% Draw32% Bristol Rovers FC38%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC21% Draw55% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.