Saturday , 14 November 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,838 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Sam Lavelle og

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Woods
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Carlisle United FC and Bristol Rovers FC is underway.
  • 5' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ben Barclay on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 14' Controversy at the stadium! Joe Garner argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' England international John Marquis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' The 29-year-old Jon Mellish has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Sam Lavelle has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 42' Carlisle United FC make a change. Paul Huntington trudges off to be replaced by Sean Maguire on 42 minutes.
  • 45' George Friend has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Aaron Collins is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 56' Antony Evans has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Harvey Vale suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Chris Martin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 67' The whistle greets Chris Martin as he departs to be replaced by John Marquis.
  • 68' The whistle greets Joe Garner as he departs to be replaced by Terry Ablade.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Tristan Crama argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 76' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Jack Hunt by Joshua Grant on 76 minute.
  • 81' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 84' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Aaron Collins by Jevani Brown on 84 minute.
  • 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC30% Draw32% Bristol Rovers FC38%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC21% Draw55% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.