Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cambridge United FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Abbey Stadium 6,513 HT 45' · FT 45'
George Thomas 73' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cambridge United FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Abbey Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Purkiss
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Cambridge United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
24 Oct Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
09 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–2 L
03 Oct Barnsley FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–1 L
07 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
03 Oct Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Abbey Stadium that hosts another battle between Cambridge United FC and Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Stevens suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Carlisle United FC that had 57 games and scored 53 goals.
  • 15' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Cambridge United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Jack Lankester.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' Cambridge United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' It’s high time Mark Bonner made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Armer on 47.
  • 52' Cambridge United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 61' The Carlisle United FC manager makes a substitution. Daniel Butterworth departs to be replaced by Terry Ablade.
  • 66' Saikou Janneh is replacing Sullay Kaikai for the Cambridge United FC side.
  • 71' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 73' Cambridge United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by George Thomas on 73.
  • 75' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 75 minute. Joe Garner leaves to be changed by Ryan Edmondson.
  • 79' John-Kymani Gordon is replacing James Brophy for the Cambridge United FC side.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Armer on 83.
  • 85' The whistle greets Owen Moxon as he departs to be replaced by Jack Robinson.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Alfie McCalmont.
  • With this win, Cambridge United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Cambridge United FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC44% Draw32% Carlisle United FC24%
Actual: Cambridge United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Cambridge United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
56%
Cambridge United FC or Carlisle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC27% Draw56% Carlisle United FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC

Handicap Cambridge United FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 24% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.