Thursday , 2 July 2026

RKC Waalwijk vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 3
Full Time
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 19:00 UTC Mandemakers Stadion 7,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Brian Brobbey
Michiel Kramer 37' 1–1
1–2 43' Steven Bergwijn pen
Yassin Oukili 51' 2–2
2–3 57' Steven Berghuis

Overview

Match Preview

RKC Waalwijk vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Mandemakers Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Assistant 1 Charles Schaap
  • Assistant 2 Maarten Ketting
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–3 L
02 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
25 Nov PEC Zwolle A 2–1 W
11 Nov Go Ahead Eagles H 0–1 L
04 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
28 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
03 Dec NEC A 2–1 W
30 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 3–4 L
25 Nov SBV Vitesse H 5–0 W
12 Nov Almere City FC A 2–2 D
09 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RKC Waalwijk to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Jay Gorter has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Denilho Cleonise is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 30' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 30 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 35' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' Michiel Kramer makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and RKC Waalwijk are in front.
  • 42' The referee has no hesitation. Aaron Meijers is booked for RKC Waalwijk — Yellow card on 42.
  • 43' A stunning finish from Steven Bergwijn — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' The whistle greets Reuven Niemeijer as he departs to be replaced by David Min.
  • 51' Against the run of play, Yassin Oukili has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' Shawn Adewoye needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 57' Steven Berghuis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 59' The RKC Waalwijk bench stirs into life. Zakaria Bakkali is withdrawn and Richonell Margaret gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julian Lelieveld suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Filip Stevanovic. He replaces Denilho Cleonise on 70 minute.
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. RKC Waalwijk in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-3-3.
  • 79' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Steven Bergwijn is replaced by Amourricho van Axel Dongen on 79 minute.
  • 82' Daouda Weidmann is ready to make an impact after coming on for Godfried Roemeratoe at the 82 minute mark.
  • 84' Jay Gorter makes way for Kristian Hlynsson at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 87' It’s a booking for RKC Waalwijk player. Yassin Oukili gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RKC Waalwijk.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 RKC Waalwijk xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RKC Waalwijk27% Draw24% AFC Ajax49%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

RKC Waalwijk or Draw
51%
Draw or AFC Ajax
73%
RKC Waalwijk or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RKC Waalwijk23% Draw41% AFC Ajax36%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RKC Waalwijk

Handicap RKC Waalwijk covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 20% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
14%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.