Thursday , 2 July 2026

RKC Waalwijk vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 19:00 UTC Mandemakers Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Yassin Oukili 21' 1–0
Yassin Oukili 60' 2–0
2–1 74' Dario Van den Buijs og
2–2 80' Julian Baas

Overview

Match Preview

RKC Waalwijk vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Mandemakers Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D
25 Nov PEC Zwolle A 2–1 W
11 Nov Go Ahead Eagles H 0–1 L
04 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–2 L
28 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 0–2 L
21 Oct FC Volendam H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 2–2 D
25 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–4 L
12 Nov FC Utrecht A 2–2 D
04 Nov AZ H 1–1 D
29 Oct FC Volendam A 1–3 L
22 Oct PEC Zwolle H 2–4 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior has kicked off!
  • 5' RKC Waalwijk is showing some good football. However, RKC Waalwijk are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Redouan El Yaakoubi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' It’s high time Henk Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 21' What a strike from Yassin Oukili! The score is 1-0.
  • 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 31' Nikolas Agrafiotis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Etienne Vaessen made 197 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Filip Stevanovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. SBV Excelsior is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RKC Waalwijk that had 197 games and scored 250 goals.
  • 56' The travelling SBV Excelsior supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Zakaria Bakkali. He replaces Denilho Cleonise on 57 minute.
  • 60' Goal! Yassin Oukili scores his 18 goal in 282 matches.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Oscar Uddenas. He replaces Lazaros Lamprou on 68 minute.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Meijers, as he is very good at scoring at Mandemakers Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' GOAL! Nikolas Agrafiotis scores on 74.
  • 75' Another change for SBV Excelsior made on 75 minute. Sven Nieuwpoort leaves to be changed by Noah Naujoks.
  • 78' Another substitution for RKC Waalwijk to replace Chris Lokesa by Reuven Niemeijer on 78 minute.
  • 80' GOAL! Julian Baas scores on 80.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RKC Waalwijk needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 RKC Waalwijk xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RKC Waalwijk46% Draw26% SBV Excelsior28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

RKC Waalwijk or Draw
72%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
54%
RKC Waalwijk or SBV Excelsior
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RKC Waalwijk33% Draw44% SBV Excelsior23%
Actual: RKC Waalwijk win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RKC Waalwijk

Handicap RKC Waalwijk covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
27%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.