NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at De Goffert.
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
- Assistant 2 Rens Bluemink
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Twente '65 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | FC Volendam | H | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Oct | Almere City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Nov | SBV Vitesse | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Almere City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Nov | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | SC Heerenveen | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| NEC | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 8 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 21 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | +12 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
NEC are 11th (8 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at De Goffert as NEC face off against AFC Ajax in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chuba Akpom made 167 appearances and scored 59 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van 't Schip will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' Netherlands international Kenneth Taylor has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Bart van Rooij is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 35' Josip Sutalo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 191 appearances.
- 40' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' NEC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Anton Gaaei is replaced by Josip Sutalo on 46 minute.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 57' What a strike from Kristian Hlynsson! The score is 0-1.
- 62' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' It is a substitution in NEC team. Youri Baas is replaced by Roberto Gonzalez on 64 minute.
- 65' The NEC manager makes a substitution. Sontje Hansen departs to be replaced by Elayis Tavsan.
- 66' Chuba Akpom has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Brobbey on 66 minute.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Ar'jany Martha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 81' Lasse Schone has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' NEC make a change. Bram Nuytinck trudges off to be replaced by Lars Olden Larsen on 85 minutes.
- 86' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Steven Bergwijn is withdrawn and Forbs gets his opportunity.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Forbs gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 90' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 90 minute. Kristian Hlynsson leaves to be changed by Jaydon Banel.
- 90' Elayis Tavsan adds to his 0 season tally! NEC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — NEC 1-2 AFC Ajax.
Lineups
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 24
- 1
- 17
- 18
- 3
- 28
- 71
-
10
Sontje Hansen ↓ Elayis Tavsan 64'
- 8
-
5
Youri Baas ↓ Roberto Gonzalez 64'
Bench
- 6
-
11
Roberto Gonzalez ↑ 64'
- 15
-
7
Elayis Tavsan ↑ 64'
- 22
- 31
-
14
Lars Olden Larsen ↑ 85'
- 4
- 23
Coach
Rogier Meijer
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Steven Bergwijn ↓ Carlos Forbs 86'
- 23
- 40
- 8
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Chuba Akpom 66'
- 33
- 4
- 38
-
3
Anton Gaaei ↓ Josip Sutalo 46'
- 42
Bench
- 25
- 1
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 66'
- 18
- 30
- 19
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↑ 46'
- 17
-
49
Jaydon Banel ↑ 90'
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↑ 86'
- 53
Coach
John van 't Schip
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.46
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
45%
Draw or AFC Ajax
78%
NEC or AFC Ajax
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 20% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.