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VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 24 Nov 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
09 Nov Hannover 96 A 1–2 L
03 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
30 Oct Hannover 96 A 2–0 W
27 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 3–0 W
20 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
11 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
08 Nov Celtic FC A 1–2 L
03 Nov Hertha BSC A 3–0 W
31 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
28 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
#1 Position #9
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Stefan Ilsanker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 6' The referee calls foul for Willi Orban. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 11' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Timo Werner made 166 appearances and scored 115 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' Admir Mehmedi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcelo Saracchi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' GOAL! Jerome Roussillon fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 55' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Willi Orban as he leaves the pitch. Marcelo Saracchi steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 73' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Admir Mehmedi departs to be replaced by Renato Steffen.
  • 78' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 80' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Konrad Laimer is withdrawn and Matheus Cunha gets his opportunity.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Elvis Rexhbecaj is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — Yellow card on 82.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Elvis Rexhbecaj as he leaves the pitch. Ohis Uduokhai steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 90' Ibrahima Konate picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.63 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.37 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg42% Draw41% RB Leipzig17%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 61%
39%
± 1.5 28%
72%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
83%
Draw or RB Leipzig
58%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
59%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg18% Draw73% RB Leipzig9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
39.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.1%
1 – 2
1.7%
3 – 0
1.4%
2 – 2
0.7%
3 – 1
0.7%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 25% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
69%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.