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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sun 4 Nov 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Arno Blos
  • Referee Christian Bandurski
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

6
2
6
1. FSV Mainz 05 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals SV Werder Bremen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
30 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
27 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
21 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–4 L
06 Oct Hertha BSC H 0–0 D
29 Sep FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
31 Oct SC Weiche Flensburg 08 A 5–1 W
28 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–6 L
20 Oct FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
05 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
29 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
#16 Position #21
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against SV Werder Bremen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Austria international Martin Harnik has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' What a strike from Jean-Philippe Mateta! The score is 1-0.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' SV Werder Bremen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' SV Werder Bremen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 51' A stunning finish from Jean-Philippe Gbamin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' Claudio Pizarro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Osako on 56 minute.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Philipp Bargfrede.
  • 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 73' Martin Harnik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philipp Bargfrede on 73 minute.
  • 74' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Anthony Ujah on, Jean-Philippe Mateta off on 74 minutes.
  • 78' Claudio Pizarro has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 79' The referee has no hesitation. Niklas Moisander is booked for SV Werder Bremen — Yellow card on 79.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Karim Onisiwo. He replaces Robin Quaison on 81 minute.
  • 85' Danny Latza makes way for Alexandru Maxim at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 90' The 29-year-old Maximilian Eggestein has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • SV Werder Bremen will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.8 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0536% Draw35% SV Werder Bremen29%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
72%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
64%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw62% SV Werder Bremen18%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.9%
1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.6%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 21% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 20% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
48%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.