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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 24 Nov 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Gunter Perl
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

3
3
10
1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
10 Nov SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
04 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
30 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
27 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
21 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
10 Nov FC Bayern München H 3–2 W
06 Nov Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–2 L
03 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
27 Oct Hertha BSC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #2
40 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
53 Conceded 34
-9 GD +36
1.18 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at .
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 15' The 32-year-old Robin Quaison has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact .
  • 25' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Dan-Axel Zagadou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Pierre Kunde Malong.
  • 34' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Thomas Delaney.
  • 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Lucien Favre might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 54' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Zentner suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' BV Borussia 09 Dortmund ring the changes. Mario Gotze has done his job and it is now time for Paco Alcacer to step up.
  • 66' The deadlock is broken! Paco Alcacer gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
  • 70' GOAL! Robin Quaison scores on 70.
  • 72' Robin Quaison makes way for Karim Onisiwo at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 76' A goal from the Poland international Lukasz Piszczek! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-2!
  • 77' Jean-Paul Boetius is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexander Hack at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Another change for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund made on 78 minute. Jacob Bruun Larsen leaves to be changed by Christian Pulisic.
  • 83' The BV Borussia 09 Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Achraf Hakimi departs to be replaced by Abdou Diallo.
  • 88' Axel Witsel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. Borussia Dortmund were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund50%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
50%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
76%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw44% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.