Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 May | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Orlando City SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 May | Real Salt Lake | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 May | San Diego FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #18 |
| 46 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 62 | Scored | 59 |
| 61 | Conceded | 48 |
| +1 | GD | +11 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 38% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
18%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). St. Louis City are 18th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
9/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/8
46-60
10/9
61-75
6/7
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 18 G | 6 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Providence Park will turn into a battlefield for Portland Timbers and St. Louis City.
- 5' St. Louis City are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 13' Poor challenge from Jimer Fory. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 18' The travelling St. Louis City supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 23' St. Louis City come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 28' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Portland Timbers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and St. Louis City are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 43' Akil Watts is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for St. Louis City tonight.
- 45' St. Louis City player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' What a strike from Akil Watts! The score is 0-1.
- 55' Antony adds to his 2 season tally! Portland Timbers lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Fresh legs for Portland Timbers! Felipe Mora comes on to replace Kevin Kelsy.
- 64' The St. Louis City manager makes a substitution. Klauss departs to be replaced by Brendan McSorley.
- 68' St. Louis City receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
- 73' Joey Zalinsky gets the nod from St. Louis City. He replaces Tomas Totland and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kamal Miller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Louis City.
- 81' Omir Fernandez has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Pereira da Costa on 81 minute.
- 86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 88' St. Louis City make a change. Celio Pompeu trudges off to be replaced by Xande Silva on 88 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Kamal Miller on 90 minutes earns him a card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 90' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Juan Mosquera has done his job and it is now time for Eric Miller to step up.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 41
- 13
- 4
- 24
- 10
- 11
-
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Diego Chara 90'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Felipe Mora 63'
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Eric Miller 90'
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 63'
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 90'
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 63'
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 90'
- 5
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 81'
- 25
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 63'
- 23
Coach
Phil Neville
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 17
- 27
-
9
Klauss ↓ Brendan McSorley 64'
- 5
-
11
Simon Becher ↓ Tomas Ostrak 88'
- 20
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↓ Xande Silva 88'
- 99
-
14
Tomas Totland ↓ Joey Zalinsky 73'
Bench
-
45
Xande Silva ↑ 88'
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 88'
- 3
- 22
- 15
- 39
-
80
Brendan McSorley ↑ 64'
-
71
Joey Zalinsky ↑ 73'
Coach
David Critchley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kristoffer Velde | 4 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Rafael Navarro | 2 |
| David Pereira da Costa | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Felipe Mora | 2 |
| Cedric Teuchert | 1 |
| Eduard Lowen | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
W
2025-05-29
Portland Timbers
2–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-05-18
Portland Timbers
1–1
Seattle Sounders FC
D
2025-05-15
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Portland Timbers
D
2025-05-11
Portland Timbers
1–0
Sporting Kansas City
W
St. Louis City Form
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-31
St. Louis City
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-05-25
Colorado Rapids SC
1–0
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-18
Minnesota United FC
3–0
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-15
St. Louis City
2–2
Sporting Kansas City
D
2025-05-11
St. Louis City
1–2
San Diego FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.85
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
74%
Draw or St. Louis City
50%
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

