Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 26 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 May | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Orlando City SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 May | Real Salt Lake | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 May | San Diego FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #19 |
| 32 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 6 |
| 48 | Scored | 45 |
| 51 | Conceded | 36 |
| -3 | GD | +9 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.69 |
| 33% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
86%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
12%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 13 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 8 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Providence Park!
- 5' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against St. Louis City's shape.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 13' Jimer Fory catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 13.
- 18' Klauss is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
- 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Reid is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Louis City.
- 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Juan Mosquera suffering a number of foals already.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their trying to find a way past St. Louis City's compact .
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' It’s a booking for St. Louis City player. Timo Baumgartl gets a card.
- 50' What composure from Akil Watts! The USA international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 55' Goal! Antony scores his 26 goal in 377 matches.
- 60' St. Louis City come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 63' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Kevin Kelsy has done his job and it is now time for Felipe Mora to step up.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Brendan McSorley. He replaces Klauss on 64 minute.
- 68' Poor challenge from Simon Becher. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Tomas Totland is withdrawn and Joey Zalinsky gets his opportunity.
- 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 295 games and scored 475 goals.
- 81' The crowd applauds David Pereira da Costa as he leaves the pitch. Omir Fernandez steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 86' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 88' A change in the St. Louis City ranks — Celio Pompeu exits the field as Xande Silva enters on 88.
- 90' Kamal Miller is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Juan Mosquera exits the field as Eric Miller enters on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Portland Timbers take all three points.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 41
- 13
- 4
- 24
- 10
- 11
-
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Diego Chara 90'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Felipe Mora 63'
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Eric Miller 90'
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 63'
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 90'
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 63'
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 90'
- 5
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 81'
- 25
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 63'
- 23
Coach
Phil Neville
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 32
- 17
- 27
-
9
Klauss ↓ Brendan McSorley 64'
- 5
-
11
Simon Becher ↓ Tomas Ostrak 88'
- 20
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↓ Xande Silva 88'
- 99
-
14
Tomas Totland ↓ Joey Zalinsky 73'
Bench
-
45
Xande Silva ↑ 88'
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 88'
- 3
- 22
- 15
- 39
-
80
Brendan McSorley ↑ 64'
-
71
Joey Zalinsky ↑ 73'
Coach
David Critchley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Kristoffer Velde | 2 |
| Rafael Navarro | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Cedric Teuchert | 1 |
| Zac McGraw | 1 |
| Eduard Lowen | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
W
2025-05-29
Portland Timbers
2–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-05-24
Orlando City SC
1–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-05-18
Portland Timbers
1–1
Seattle Sounders FC
D
2025-05-15
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Portland Timbers
D
2025-05-11
Portland Timbers
1–0
Sporting Kansas City
W
St. Louis City Form
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-31
St. Louis City
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-05-25
Colorado Rapids SC
1–0
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-18
Minnesota United FC
3–0
St. Louis City
L
2025-05-15
St. Louis City
2–2
Sporting Kansas City
D
2025-05-11
St. Louis City
1–2
San Diego FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
73%
Draw or St. Louis City
51%
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

