St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

St. Louis City

2 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:00 UTC Citypark HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 59' Julio Ortiz

Y 64' Kevin Kelsy

Y 77' Juan Mosquera

Y 79' Kamal Miller

Klauss 90' Y

Jaziel Orozco 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Citypark.

St. Louis City 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

St. Louis City 8 games · Avg 3.6 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-13 St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers 2025-06-08 Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City 2024-08-25 Portland Timbers 4–4 St. Louis City 2024-06-09 St. Louis City 0–0 Portland Timbers 2023-04-30 St. Louis City 1–2 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

St. Louis City

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Portland Timbers	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	2–3	L
29 Jun	Houston Dynamo	A	0–1	L
26 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	2–4	L
14 Jun	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	3–3	D
08 Jun	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	St. Louis City	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
28 Jun	Toronto FC	A	0–3	L
14 Jun	San Jose Earthquakes	H	1–1	D
08 Jun	St. Louis City	H	2–1	W
29 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

St. Louis City		Portland Timbers
#18	Position	#22
54	Points	46
34	Played	34
15 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 7 / 14
59	Scored	62
48	Conceded	61
+11	GD	+1
1.59	PPG	1.35
44%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season

9% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

St. Louis City are 18th (54 pts). Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Louis City

0-15

9/3

16-30

8/2

31-45

11/8

46-60

10/9

61-75

6/7

76+

10/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

7/10

16-30

8/10

31-45

9/9

46-60

6/5

61-75

10/4

76+

12/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Louis City

Rafael Navarro	18 G	6 A
Simon Becher	9 G	4 A
Marcel Hartel	6 G	3 A

Portland Timbers

Kristoffer Velde	12 G	6 A
Ariel Lassiter	9 G	4 A
Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between St. Louis City and Portland Timbers is underway.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Portland Timbers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' Portland Timbers have won 498 goals from 307 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Tomas Totland has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
19' Brilliant from the ! David Pereira da Costa makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 19.
24' Tomas Ostrak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for St. Louis City tonight.
29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cristhian Paredes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
34' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
44' Portland Timbers fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Ian Smith on, Jimer Fory off on 46 minutes.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
54' What composure from Marcel Hartel! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-1.
59' Julio Ortiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
64' Kevin Kelsy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
65' Time for substitution for Portland Timbers. Santiago Moreno is replaced by Omir Fernandez.
66' St. Louis City make a change. Tomas Ostrak trudges off to be replaced by Eduard Lowen on 66 minutes.
67' The deadlock is broken! Marcel Hartel gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
67' The St. Louis City manager makes a substitution. Celio Pompeu departs to be replaced by Simon Becher.
72' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
75' Time for substitution for Portland Timbers. David Ayala is replaced by Cristhian Paredes.
77' The referee has no hesitation. Juan Mosquera is booked for Portland Timbers — card on 77.
79' Controversy at the stadium! Kamal Miller argues furiously but the card stands.
82' Another substitution for St. Louis City to replace Cedric Teuchert by Akil Watts on 82 minute.
87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
90' Klauss picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' St. Louis City make a change. Jaziel Orozco trudges off to be replaced by Kyle Hiebert on 90 minutes.
Portland Timbers will have plenty to reflect on. St. Louis City were simply the better side today.

Lineups

St. Louis City Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Eduard Lowen ↑ 66'
45
Xande Silva
11
Simon Becher ↑ 67'
22
Kyle Hiebert ↑ 90'
20
Akil Watts ↑ 82'
99
Jayden Reid
39
Ben Lundt
33
Tyson Pearce
71
Joey Zalinsky

Coach David Critchley

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

21
Diego Chara ↑ 65'
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 75'
41
James Pantemis
15
Eric Miller
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 65'
9
Felipe Mora
23
Ian Smith ↑ 46'
88
Gage Guerra

Coach Phil Neville

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kristoffer Velde	4
Evander	2
Rafael Navarro	2
David Pereira da Costa	2
Marcel Hartel	2
Felipe Mora	2
Eduard Lowen	1
Yimmi Chara	1

Head to Head

St. Louis City Form

2025-07-13 St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers W 2025-07-06 Real Salt Lake 3–2 St. Louis City L 2025-06-29 Houston Dynamo 1–0 St. Louis City L 2025-06-26 St. Louis City 2–4 Orlando City SC L 2025-06-14 St. Louis City 3–3 Los Angeles Galaxy D 2025-06-08 Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City L

Portland Timbers Form

2025-07-13 St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers L 2025-07-06 Portland Timbers 2–1 New England Revolution W 2025-06-28 Toronto FC 3–0 Portland Timbers L 2025-06-14 Portland Timbers 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D 2025-06-08 Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City W 2025-05-29 Portland Timbers 2–1 Colorado Rapids SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 St. Louis City xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.59 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

St. Louis City48% Draw24% Portland Timbers28%

Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

St. Louis City or Draw

72%

Draw or Portland Timbers

52%

St. Louis City or Portland Timbers

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

St. Louis City38% Draw39% Portland Timbers23%

Actual: Portland Timbers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

2 – 0

5.5%

3 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

3.9%

0 – 0

3.5%

2 – 3

3.5%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — St. Louis City

Handicap	St. Louis City covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	20%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

St. Louis City keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.