Poland vs Italy, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Poland Lineups
Italy Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Poland Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.05 Poland xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.26 Italy xGI would bet for: Italy or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.31Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 88% 12% ± 1.5 67% 33% ± 2.5 40% 60% ± 3.5 21% 79% ± 4.5 9% 91% Double Chance
Poland or Draw 59%Draw or Italy 71%Poland or Italy 70%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 14.1%0 – 0 12.1%0 – 1 Actual1 – 0 9.2%1 – 2 8%0 – 2 7.6%2 – 1 6.7%2 – 0 5.3%2 – 2 4.3%1 – 3 3.4%0 – 3 3.2%3 – 1 2.4%Asian Handicap — Poland
Handicap Poland covers Push Italy covers -2.5 3% — 97% -2 3% 8% 88% -1.5 12% — 88% -1 12% 18% 71% -0.5 29% — 71% +0.5 60% — 40% +1 60% 21% 18% +1.5 82% — 18% +2 82% 12% 6% +2.5 94% — 6% Clean Sheet
Poland keeps clean sheet 29% ✓Italy keeps clean sheet 36% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.