Croatia vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Croatia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
73%
Draw or Italy
57%
Croatia or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Croatia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.