Wales vs Poland, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Poland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Wales Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Wales or Poland 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
70%
Draw or Poland
59%
Wales or Poland
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Poland win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.