Italy vs Hungary, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Hungary Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
Hungary xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
81%
Draw or Hungary
46%
Italy or Hungary
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Hungary covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Hungary keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.