Poland vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Poland Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Poland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05
Poland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Poland or Draw
59%
Draw or Italy
71%
Poland or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Poland
| Handicap | Poland covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Poland keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.