Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Toronto FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jul | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | New York City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #7 |
| 7 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 36 |
| 30 | Conceded | 37 |
| -12 | GD | -1 |
| 0.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 7% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Philadelphia Union is hosting FC Cincinnati for another epic battle.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matt Miazga on 18 minutes.
- 19' Jack Elliott picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Daniel Gazdag.
- 23' What a moment for Jose Martinez! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Julian Carranza has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' A moment of madness from Roman Celentano on 35 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 36' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 36.
- 37' Daniel Gazdag is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 42' Damion Lowe was booked on 42.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Nick Hagglund.
- 46' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Ian Murphy on 46 minute.
- 49' Assisted by Yuya Kubo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aaron Boupendza makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 54' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' A moment of madness from Julian Carranza on 63 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
- 64' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Jose Martinez is withdrawn and Jesus Bueno gets his opportunity.
- 69' Kai Wagner has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 286 appearances.
- 71' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Dom Badji on, Yuya Kubo off on 71 minutes.
- 73' Philadelphia Union make a change. Mikkel Uhre trudges off to be replaced by Tai Baribo on 73 minutes.
- 74' Kai Wagner is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
- 76' Goal! Brandon Vazquez scores his 44 goal in 283 matches.
- 81' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yerson Mosquera on 83 minutes.
- 85' Poor challenge from Tai Baribo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' FC Cincinnati make a change. Aaron Boupendza trudges off to be replaced by Alvas Powell on 87 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Elliott is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 90.
- 90' FC Cincinnati make a change. Santiago Arias trudges off to be replaced by Ray Gaddis on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
- 9
- 10
- 16
- 26
-
17
Damion Lowe ↓ Chris Donovan 90'
- 5
-
8
Jose Martinez ↓ Jesus Bueno 64'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 73'
Bench
- 15
- 19
- 12
- 2
- 33
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↑ 64'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 90'
-
28
Tai Baribo ↑ 73'
- 14
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 7
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Ray Gaddis 90'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Ian Murphy 46'
- 93
- 19
- 31
- 5
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 46'
- 15
- 18
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 46'
- 2
-
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 90'
- 1
- 42
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
-
14
Dom Badji ↑ 71'
- 8
- 26
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Olivier Mbaizo | 1 |
| Jacob Glesnes | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-09-16
Philadelphia Union
2–2
FC Cincinnati
D
2023-09-03
Philadelphia Union
4–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2023-08-30
Toronto FC
3–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-08-26
D.C. United SC
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2023-07-15
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New York City FC
W
2023-07-13
Nashville SC
0–2
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.