Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Toronto FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jul | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | Nashville SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | New York City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 50 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 66 | Scored | 67 |
| 52 | Conceded | 75 |
| +14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Santiago Arias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 18' The referee calls foul for Matt Miazga. He receives a card.
- 19' Poor challenge from Jack Elliott. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 21' Daniel Gazdag has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
- 23' A stunning finish from Jose Martinez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 28' Kai Wagner is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roman Celentano on 35 minutes.
- 36' Yerson Mosquera catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 37' Daniel Gazdag makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
- 42' Damion Lowe was booked on 42.
- 45' A moment of madness from Nick Hagglund on 45 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Ian Murphy on, Nick Hagglund off on 46 minutes.
- 49' GOAL! Aaron Boupendza fires home to make it 2-1!
- 54' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Kubo suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' That is a card for Philadelphia Union. Julian Carranza will be fuming at that decision.
- 64' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jose Martinez has done his job and it is now time for Jesus Bueno to step up.
- 69' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 71' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Dom Badji on, Yuya Kubo off on 71 minutes.
- 73' Mikkel Uhre makes way for Tai Baribo at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
- 74' Kai Wagner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
- 76' Brandon Vazquez adds to his 3 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yerson Mosquera on 83.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tai Baribo on 85 minutes.
- 87' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Aaron Boupendza is withdrawn and Alvas Powell gets his opportunity.
- 90' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 90.
- 90' Ray Gaddis gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Santiago Arias and will look to change the dynamic.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
- 9
- 10
- 16
- 26
-
17
Damion Lowe ↓ Chris Donovan 90'
- 5
-
8
Jose Martinez ↓ Jesus Bueno 64'
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Tai Baribo 73'
Bench
- 15
- 19
- 12
- 2
- 33
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↑ 64'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 90'
-
28
Tai Baribo ↑ 73'
- 14
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 7
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Ray Gaddis 90'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Ian Murphy 46'
- 93
- 19
- 31
- 5
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 46'
- 15
- 18
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 46'
- 2
-
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 90'
- 1
- 42
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
-
14
Dom Badji ↑ 71'
- 8
- 26
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Jose Martinez | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2023-09-16
Philadelphia Union
2–2
FC Cincinnati
D
2023-09-03
Philadelphia Union
4–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2023-08-30
Toronto FC
3–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2023-08-26
D.C. United SC
1–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2023-07-15
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New York City FC
W
2023-07-13
Nashville SC
0–2
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.46
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

