Saturday , 14 November 2026

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Jose Martinez 23' 1–0
Daniel Gazdag pen 37' 2–0
2–1 49' Aaron Boupendza
2–2 76' Brandon Vazquez

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep FC Cincinnati H 2–2 D
03 Sep New York Red Bulls H 4–1 W
30 Aug Toronto FC A 1–3 L
26 Aug D.C. United SC A 3–1 W
15 Jul New York City FC H 2–1 W
13 Jul Nashville SC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Philadelphia Union A 2–2 D
02 Sep Orlando City SC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Atlanta United FC A 2–1 W
26 Aug New York City FC H 3–0 W
20 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 0–3 L
15 Jul Nashville SC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union FC Cincinnati
#6 Position #8
50 Points 46
34 Played 34
14 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
66 Scored 67
52 Conceded 75
+14 GD -8
1.47 PPG 1.35
41% Win % 35%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 19 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 13 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 9 G 6 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Santiago Arias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Matt Miazga. He receives a card.
  • 19' Poor challenge from Jack Elliott. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 21' Daniel Gazdag has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 23' A stunning finish from Jose Martinez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 28' Kai Wagner is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roman Celentano on 35 minutes.
  • 36' Yerson Mosquera catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 37' Daniel Gazdag makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
  • 42' Damion Lowe was booked on 42.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Nick Hagglund on 45 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
  • 46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Ian Murphy on, Nick Hagglund off on 46 minutes.
  • 49' GOAL! Aaron Boupendza fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 54' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Kubo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' That is a card for Philadelphia Union. Julian Carranza will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jose Martinez has done his job and it is now time for Jesus Bueno to step up.
  • 69' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Dom Badji on, Yuya Kubo off on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Mikkel Uhre makes way for Tai Baribo at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
  • 74' Kai Wagner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 76' Brandon Vazquez adds to his 3 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yerson Mosquera on 83.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tai Baribo on 85 minutes.
  • 87' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Aaron Boupendza is withdrawn and Alvas Powell gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 90.
  • 90' Ray Gaddis gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Santiago Arias and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.46 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union52% Draw22% FC Cincinnati26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union42% Draw36% FC Cincinnati22%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 19% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 13% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.