Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jose Martinez 23' 1–0

Daniel Gazdag pen 37' 2–0

2–1 49' Aaron Boupendza

2–2 76' Brandon Vazquez

Y 18' Matt Miazga

Jack Elliott 19' Y

Daniel Gazdag 21' Y

Y 35' Roman Celentano

Y 36' Yerson Mosquera

Damion Lowe 42' Y

Y 45' Nick Hagglund

Julian Carranza 63' Y

Kai Wagner 74' Y

YR 83' Yerson Mosquera

Tai Baribo 85' Y

Jack Elliott 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-06-18 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–2	D
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	4–1	W
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
26 Aug	New York City FC	H	3–0	W
20 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#6	Position	#9
39	Points	33
27	Played	26
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
54	Scored	55
44	Conceded	64
+10	GD	-9
1.44	PPG	1.27
41%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Roman Celentano, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
18' A moment of madness from Matt Miazga on 18 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
19' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 19.
21' Daniel Gazdag picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
23' A stunning finish from Jose Martinez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
33' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
35' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Roman Celentano will be fuming at that decision.
36' The referee calls foul for Yerson Mosquera. He receives a card.
37' Daniel Gazdag makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Damion Lowe on 42 minutes.
45' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Nick Hagglund by Ian Murphy on 46 minute.
49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Aaron Boupendza makes it 2-1.
54' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
59' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
63' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Julian Carranza gets a card.
64' The supporters are chanting for Jesus Bueno. He replaces Jose Martinez on 64 minute.
69' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Brandon Vazquez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
71' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Dom Badji comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
73' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Mikkel Uhre is withdrawn and Tai Baribo gets his opportunity.
74' The referee calls foul for Kai Wagner. He receives a card.
76' The USA Brandon Vazquez breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 2-2!
81' FC Cincinnati have won 363 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
83' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Yerson Mosquera will be fuming at that decision.
85' A moment of madness from Tai Baribo on 85 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
87' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 87 minute. Aaron Boupendza leaves to be changed by Alvas Powell.
90' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 90.
90' Ray Gaddis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santiago Arias on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 46'
2
Alvas Powell
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 90'
1
Alec Kann
42
Bret Halsey
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
14
Dom Badji ↑ 71'
8
Marco Angulo
26
Malik Pinto

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Damiani	5
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Quinn Sullivan	2
Kacper Przybylko	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC W 2023-08-20 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.7 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union53% Draw21% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.48

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

74%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

47%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union43% Draw35% FC Cincinnati22%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.3%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.2%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 0

4.3%

4 – 1

4.3%

4 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	16%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	19%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	12%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.