Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jose Martinez 23' 1–0

Daniel Gazdag pen 37' 2–0

2–1 49' Aaron Boupendza

2–2 76' Brandon Vazquez

Y 18' Matt Miazga

Jack Elliott 19' Y

Daniel Gazdag 21' Y

Y 35' Roman Celentano

Y 36' Yerson Mosquera

Damion Lowe 42' Y

Y 45' Nick Hagglund

Julian Carranza 63' Y

Kai Wagner 74' Y

YR 83' Yerson Mosquera

Tai Baribo 85' Y

Jack Elliott 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-06-18 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–2	D
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	4–1	W
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
26 Aug	New York City FC	H	3–0	W
20 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
15 Jul	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#13	Position	#6
16	Points	26
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
25	Scored	45
33	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+1
0.89	PPG	1.44
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Philadelphia Union launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' The 33-year-old Nick Hagglund has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
18' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 18.
19' Jack Elliott is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
21' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Daniel Gazdag gets a card.
23' A stunning finish from Jose Martinez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
28' Philadelphia Union started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
35' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Roman Celentano will be fuming at that decision.
36' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Yerson Mosquera gets a card.
37' Daniel Gazdag adds to his 3 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
42' Philadelphia Union receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
45' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
46' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Nick Hagglund exits the field as Ian Murphy enters on 46.
49' The Gabon Aaron Boupendza breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 2-1!
54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
59' Junior Moreno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
63' Philadelphia Union player sees a card in front of him.
64' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Jose Martinez is replaced by Jesus Bueno.
69' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
71' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Dom Badji gets his opportunity.
73' The supporters are chanting for Tai Baribo. He replaces Mikkel Uhre on 73 minute.
74' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 74.
76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brandon Vazquez makes it 2-2.
81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
83' Poor challenge from Yerson Mosquera. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
85' Tai Baribo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
87' The supporters are chanting for Alvas Powell. He replaces Aaron Boupendza on 87 minute.
90' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Jack Elliott gets a card.
90' Ray Gaddis is replacing Santiago Arias for the FC Cincinnati side.
The points are shared — Philadelphia Union 2-2 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 46'
2
Alvas Powell
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 90'
1
Alec Kann
42
Bret Halsey
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
14
Dom Badji ↑ 71'
8
Marco Angulo
26
Malik Pinto

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Bruno Damiani	2
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Fafa Picault	1
Brenner da Silva	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC W 2023-08-20 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.16 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.12 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union42% Draw23% FC Cincinnati35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.28

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

65%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

58%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union32% Draw37% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 2

2 – 3

4.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.3%

4 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	17%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.