Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 PLAYOFFS

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MLS · 2022

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Fri 21 Oct 2022 · 00:00 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Alvas Powell

Y 25' Nick Hagglund

Y 58' Matt Miazga

Leon Flach 63' Y

Olivier Mbaizo 67' Y

Olivier Mbaizo 68' Y

Jose Andres Martinez 81' Y

Daniel Gazdag 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-06-18 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-31 Philadelphia Union 2–0 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–4	L
17 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
10 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	5–1	W
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
09 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	5–2	W
01 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#13	Position	#6
16	Points	26
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
25	Scored	45
33	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+1
0.89	PPG	1.44
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Cincinnati kicks off things out of here…
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
20' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
25' Controversy at the stadium! Alvas Powell argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
30' Jack Elliott has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
35' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
45' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
50' Nigeria international Obinna Nwobodo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
58' Matt Miazga is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
59' Against the run of play, Leon Flach has scored! This game has turned on its head.
63' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Leon Flach on 63 minutes.
67' The referee calls foul for Olivier Mbaizo. He receives a Yellow card.
68' Controversy at the stadium! Olivier Mbaizo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
68' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Alvas Powell is withdrawn and Ronald Matarrita gets his opportunity.
73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
75' Sergio Santos gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Ian Murphy and will look to change the dynamic.
80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
81' The referee has no hesitation. Jose Andres Martinez is booked for Philadelphia Union — Yellow card on 81.
86' Matthew Real has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack McGlynn on 86 minute.
89' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Junior Moreno is replaced by Dominique Badji.
With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Bruno Damiani	2
Alejandro Bedoya	2
David Accam	1
Alvaro Barreal	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC W 2022-10-01 Charlotte FC 4–0 Philadelphia Union L 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D 2022-09-10 Philadelphia Union 5–1 Orlando City SC W 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 D.C. United SC 2–5 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.16 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union48% Draw22% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.07

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

52%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union34% Draw37% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.8%

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 2

2 – 3

4.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

4.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	18%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

16% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.