Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 PLAYOFFS

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MLS · 2022

Philadelphia Union

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Fri 21 Oct 2022 · 00:00 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Alvas Powell

Y 25' Nick Hagglund

Y 58' Matt Miazga

Leon Flach 63' Y

Olivier Mbaizo 67' Y

Olivier Mbaizo 68' Y

Jose Andres Martinez 81' Y

Daniel Gazdag 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-06-18 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-31 Philadelphia Union 2–0 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
09 Oct	Toronto FC	H	4–0	W
01 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–4	L
17 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
10 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	5–1	W
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
09 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	5–2	W
01 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#6	Position	#9
39	Points	33
27	Played	26
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
54	Scored	55
44	Conceded	64
+10	GD	-9
1.44	PPG	1.27
41%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at Subaru Park.
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Philadelphia Union needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
15' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
25' Alvas Powell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 252 games and scored 363 goals.
35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
45' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
50' Philadelphia Union seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
55' FC Cincinnati have won 363 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
58' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 58.
59' Philadelphia Union is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leon Flach on 59.
63' Philadelphia Union receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 63.
67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Olivier Mbaizo on 67 minutes.
68' Philadelphia Union player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
68' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Alvas Powell by Ronald Matarrita on 68 minute.
73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
75' Sergio Santos is replacing Ian Murphy for the FC Cincinnati side.
80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
81' Philadelphia Union player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
86' The supporters are chanting for Matthew Real. He replaces Jack McGlynn on 86 minute.
89' Dominique Badji has so much to prove this time. He replaces Junior Moreno on 89 minute.
With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Bruno Damiani	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Quinn Sullivan	2
Jesus Bueno	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC W 2022-10-01 Charlotte FC 4–0 Philadelphia Union L 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D 2022-09-10 Philadelphia Union 5–1 Orlando City SC W 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 D.C. United SC 2–5 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.71 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union59% Draw20% FC Cincinnati21%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4.28

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

79%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

41%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union46% Draw35% FC Cincinnati19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.9%

3 – 1

6.9%

1 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.3%

4 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

4.6%

4 – 2

3.7%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	17%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	19%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	11%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.