Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Stade Jean Bouin HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Bradley Barcola
Alimami Gory 76' 1–1
Alimami Gory 90+4' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Jean Bouin.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Durand (France)
  • Assistant 2 Ludovic Reyes
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paris FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
03 May Stade Brestois 29 H 4–0 W
26 Apr Lille OSC H 0–1 L
19 Apr FC Metz A 3–1 W
10 Apr AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Paris FC A 1–2 L
13 May Racing Club de Lens A 2–0 W
10 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–0 W
06 May FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
02 May FC Lorient H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Bayern München H 5–4 W

Season Stats

Paris FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#3 Position #6
11 Points 8
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
8 Scored 8
3 Conceded 7
+5 GD +1
2.20 PPG 1.60
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Paris FC are 3rd (11 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Paris FC gets underway.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' It’s high time Antoine Kombouare made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Paris FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 20' Paris Saint-Germain FC is showing some good football. However, Paris Saint-Germain FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Paris Saint-Germain FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Marquinhos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 50' Bradley Barcola puts Paris Saint-Germain FC on the lead.
  • 55' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' Warren Zaire-Emery has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 526 appearances.
  • 65' A quiet spell here at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris Saint-Germain FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Kang-in Lee.
  • 71' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Alimami Gory gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 86' Paris Saint-Germain FC have won 858 goals from 526 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 90' Paris FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Paris FC 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC54% Draw25% Paris Saint-Germain FC21%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
46%
Paris FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC39% Draw45% Paris Saint-Germain FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.