Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Stade Jean Bouin HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Bradley Barcola
Alimami Gory 76' 1–1
Alimami Gory 90+4' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade Jean Bouin.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillaume Paradis
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Durand (France)
  • Assistant 2 Ludovic Reyes

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paris FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–2 L
03 May Stade Brestois 29 H 4–0 W
26 Apr Lille OSC H 0–1 L
19 Apr FC Metz A 3–1 W
10 Apr AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Paris FC A 1–2 L
13 May Racing Club de Lens A 2–0 W
10 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–0 W
06 May FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
02 May FC Lorient H 2–2 D
28 Apr FC Bayern München H 5–4 W

Season Stats

Paris FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#13 Position #3
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Paris FC are 13th (0 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Paris FC have kicked off against Paris Saint-Germain FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Otavio Ataide made 382 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Paris Saint-Germain FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Adama Camara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Enrique might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Paris FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris Saint-Germain FC backline.
  • 40' Paris FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bradley Barcola makes it 0-1.
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' Paris Saint-Germain FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris Saint-Germain FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' A moment of madness from Kang-in Lee on 66 minutes earns him a card. Paris Saint-Germain FC will be frustrated.
  • 71' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Alimami Gory gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Paris Saint-Germain FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 86' Ousmane Dembele is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paris FC so far.
  • 90' That is a card for Paris FC. Maxime Lopez will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Paris FC or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC41% Draw36% Paris Saint-Germain FC23%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
59%
Paris FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC22% Draw63% Paris Saint-Germain FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.3%
1 – 0
17.7%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
2.2%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.