Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFC CSKA Moskva vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 11:00 UTC VEB Arena 10,667 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Martin Kramaric pen

Overview

Match Preview

PFC CSKA Moskva vs PFK SochiRFPL at VEB Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Maksim Gavrilin
  • Assistant 2 Aleksey Ermilov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr PFK Sochi H 0–1 L
04 Apr FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–1 W
21 Mar FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 3–1 W
14 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L
08 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–4 L
01 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–4 L
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L

Season Stats

PFC CSKA Moskva PFK Sochi
#5 Position #16
51 Points 22
30 Played 30
15 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
44 Scored 29
33 Conceded 60
+11 GD -31
1.70 PPG 0.73
50% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.13 PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PFC CSKA Moskva56% Draw24% PFK Sochi20%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
79%
Draw or PFK Sochi
44%
PFC CSKA Moskva or PFK Sochi
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFC CSKA Moskva44% Draw41% PFK Sochi15%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva

Handicap PFC CSKA Moskva covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
35%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.