Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
0 4
Full Time
Fri 10 Mar 2023 · 16:00 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK OrenburgRFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar FK Orenburg H 0–4 L
05 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 2–0 W
13 Nov FK Khimki A 2–0 W
05 Nov FK Spartak Moskva H 1–1 D
30 Oct FK Ural H 2–2 D
24 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–7 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar PFK Sochi A 4–0 W
04 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–3 L
13 Nov FK Krasnodar H 5–1 W
04 Nov FK Khimki A 0–2 L
28 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 4–1 W
23 Oct PFC CSKA Moskva H 2–2 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Orenburg
#16 Position #12
22 Points 29
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
29 Scored 29
60 Conceded 44
-31 GD -15
0.73 PPG 0.97
20% Win % 23%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' PFK Sochi have kicked off against FK Orenburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' PFK Sochi is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Joaozinho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
  • 20' Vladimir Obukhov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Christian Noboa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' PFK Sochi seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' Kirill Zaika catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Braian Mansilla on 36.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. PFK Sochi is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kirill Kaplenko on 42 minutes.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Georgii Melkadze argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 45' Goal! Kirill Kaplenko scores his 5 goal in 394 matches.
  • 46' What a moment for Kirill Kaplenko! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 51' The Argentina Matias Perez breaks the deadlock on 51 minutes. 0-3!
  • 56' Argentina international Lucas Vera has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' Christian Noboa was booked on 57.
  • 60' Renato Gojkovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 60.
  • 60' A change in the PFK Sochi ranks — Georgii Melkadze exits the field as Luka Dordevic enters on 60.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ivan Basic makes no mistake. 0-4!
  • 70' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a Yellow card on 70.
  • 75' A goal from the Belarus international Juryj Kavaliou! He fires home on 75 to make it 0-5!
  • 76' Timur Ayupov gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Lucas Vera and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Joaozinho gets the nod from PFK Sochi. He replaces Artur Yusupov and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vladimir Poluyakhtov is hanging Mateo Stamatov on the field on 81 minute.
  • 85' FK Orenburg make a change. Ivan Basic trudges off to be replaced by Nikolai Titkov on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • With this win, FK Orenburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi31% Draw26% FK Orenburg43%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
57%
Draw or FK Orenburg
69%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi23% Draw42% FK Orenburg35%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 20% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
17%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.