PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht.
- PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Dec | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Oct | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| PFK Sochi | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #12 |
| 22 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 6 / 4 / 20 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 60 | Conceded | 44 |
| -31 | GD | -15 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 20% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. PFK Sochi host FK Orenburg — let the battle begin!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Martin Kramaric has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 21' The referee calls foul for Stepan Oganesyan. He receives a card.
- 26' Ecuador international Justin Cuero has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' PFK Sochi started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 36' The 27-year-old Cesar Florentin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' Maksim Sidorov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' What a moment for Ivan Ignatjev! That strike on 42 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Stepan Oganesyan by Brian Mansilla on 46 minute.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kirill Kravtsov made 394 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 70' PFK Sochi make a change. Kirill Zaika trudges off to be replaced by Jurij Medvedev on 70 minutes.
- 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 76' Alejandro Cabeza is replacing Ivan Ignatjev for the PFK Sochi side.
- 78' Brian Mansilla picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 83' A moment of madness from Yaroslav Mikhailov on 83 minutes earns him a card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
- 85' Jimmy Marin gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Feyttullah Gurluk and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' The whistle greets Alejandro Cabeza as he departs to be replaced by Artem Makarchuk.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Vera argues furiously but the card stands.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
PFK Sochi Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 10
- 7
-
27
Kirill Zaika ↓ Jurij Medvedev 70'
- 18
- 45
- 33
- 14
- 34
- 13
- 26
Bench
- 5
-
71
Jurij Medvedev ↑ 70'
-
24
Miguel Silveira ↑ 70'
- 20
-
99
Alejandro Cabeza ↑ 76'
- 17
- 8
- 51
- 99
- 15
- 69
- 35
Coach
Aleksandr Tochilin
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↓ Lucas Vera 46'
- 90
- 21
-
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↓ Justin Cuero 46'
- 6
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 3
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↓ Jimmy Marin 85'
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 85'
- 2
- 5
- 38
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 46'
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 46'
- 12
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↑ 46'
- 95
- 17
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 46'
- –
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kravtsov | 3 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 2 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
| Brian Mansilla | 1 |
| Cesar Florentin | 1 |
| Justin Cuero | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Sochi Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3
PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
PFK Sochi or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Orenburg
69%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi
| Handicap | PFK Sochi covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.