PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
- PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
- Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
- Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FK Orenburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | PFK Sochi | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| PFK Sochi | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #12 |
| 22 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 6 / 4 / 20 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 29 | Scored | 29 |
| 60 | Conceded | 44 |
| -31 | GD | -15 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 20% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
- 5' Feyttullah Gurluk, a Turkey , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 7' What a strike from Kirill Kravtsov! The score is 1-0.
- 12' A quiet spell here at Fisht Olympic Stadium. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vyacheslav Litvinov suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 32' It’s high time Igor Osinkin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kirill Kravtsov makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 39' Poor challenge from Sergey Volkov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 49' FK Orenburg come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danila Khotulev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Sochi.
- 59' Kirill Zaika picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 64' PFK Sochi started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 67' A goal from the Russia international Kirill Kravtsov! He fires home on 67 to make it 3-0!
- 69' GOAL! Alexandre Jesus scores on 69.
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 79' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' Aleksandr Degtev catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Another three points for PFK Sochi.
Lineups
PFK Sochi Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 8
- 27
- 16
- 33
- 29
- 4
- 14
- 28
- 82
- 98
- 35
Bench
- 45
- 11
- 25
- 7
- 19
- 20
- 99
- 18
- 85
- 59
- 9
- 23
Coach
Igor Osinkin
FK Orenburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 30
- 4
- 37
- 16
- 6
- 7
- 32
- 65
- 57
Bench
- 88
- 3
- 19
- 59
- 33
- 8
- 27
- 38
- 9
- 2
- 26
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kravtsov | 3 |
| Timur Ayupov | 2 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 2 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
| Ivan Basic | 1 |
| Alexandre Jesus | 1 |
| Christian Noboa | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Sochi Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Sochi win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
PFK Sochi or Draw
64%
Draw or FK Orenburg
62%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi
| Handicap | PFK Sochi covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

