Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 3,170 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kirill Kravtsov 7' 1–0
Kirill Kravtsov 33' 2–0
Kirill Kravtsov 67' 3–0
3–1 69' Alexandre Jesus

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Igor Demeshko
  • Assistant 2 Aleksandr Bogdanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
26 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May PFK Sochi A 1–3 L
25 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
22 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
18 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
11 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–0 D
04 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 3–3 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg is underway.
  • 5' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 7' The Russia Kirill Kravtsov breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-0!
  • 12' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marcelo Alves is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Orenburg.
  • 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' Kirill Zaika is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PFK Sochi tonight.
  • 32' FK Orenburg have won 210 goals from 346 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 33' Kirill Kravtsov adds to his 0 season tally! PFK Sochi lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 38' Vyacheslav Litvinov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' Sergey Volkov was booked on 39.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Fisht Olympic Stadium. PFK Sochi seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Kirill Zaika is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 64' It looks surprising PFK Sochi does not make any changes. Mikhail Ignatov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 67' GOAL! Kirill Kravtsov scores on 67.
  • 69' What a moment for Alexandre Jesus! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 74' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. PFK Sochi must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Igor Osinkin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Aleksandr Degtev. He receives a card.
  • It finishes all square. PFK Sochi and FK Orenburg share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi41% Draw27% FK Orenburg32%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Orenburg
59%
PFK Sochi or FK Orenburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi28% Draw46% FK Orenburg26%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.