RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jun | FK Krasnodar | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 May | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 May | FK Khimki | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | FK Torpedo Moskva | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 May | FK Ural | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #11 |
| 37 | Points | 32 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 14 |
| 35 | Scored | 35 |
| 39 | Conceded | 50 |
| -4 | GD | -15 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 30% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
20%
Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: RFK Akhmat Grozny gets underway.
- 5' RFK Akhmat Grozny are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara's shape.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Akhmat Arena. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Benjamin Garre makes it 0-1.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mohamed Konate suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' A tactical swap from PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — Amar Rahmanovic on, Dmitrii Tsypchenko off on 23 minutes.
- 28' It is a cagey affair so far. RFK Akhmat Grozny in their trying to find a way past PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara's compact .
- 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RFK Akhmat Grozny winning 50% of all matches.
- 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' The travelling PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' Vladislav Kamilov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roman Ezhov on 58.
- 60' Gamid Agalarov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vladimir Ilyin at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 67' It’s a booking for RFK Akhmat Grozny player. Jasmin Celikovic gets a card.
- 71' The referee shows PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara player a card on 71.
- 76' RFK Akhmat Grozny are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara backline.
- 77' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara bench stirs into life. Fernando Costanza is withdrawn and Sergey Babkin gets his opportunity.
- 82' RFK Akhmat Grozny looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Georgi Melkadze scoring 1 goals.
- 85' What composure from Sergey Babkin! The Russia international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 88' Mateo Barac is replacing Roman Ezhov for the PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara side.
- 90' What composure from Gamid Agalarov! The Russia international strokes it home. 1-2.
- The points are shared — RFK Akhmat Grozny 1-2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Honours even.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 4
- 88
- 7
- 13
- 21
- 96
- 24
- 6
- 18
-
29
Vladimir Ilyin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 60'
Bench
- 40
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 60'
- 1
- 35
- 71
- 33
- 94
- –
- –
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 24
- 81
- 28
- 4
- 5
-
11
Roman Ezhov ↓ Mateo Barac 88'
- 7
- 22
- 21
- –
Bench
- 15
-
44
Mateo Barac ↑ 88'
-
20
Amar Rahmanovic ↑ 23'
- 1
- 8
-
6
Sergey Babkin ↑ 77'
- 17
- 39
- 14
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mohamed Konate | 5 |
| Vladimir Iljin | 3 |
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Denis Glushakov | 2 |
| Ablay Mbengue | 2 |
| Taras Burlak | 2 |
| Dominik Oroz | 2 |
| Georgi Melkadze | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-07-22
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2023-06-03
RFK Akhmat Grozny
2–2
FK Krasnodar
D
2023-05-28
FK Rostov
3–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-05-20
RFK Akhmat Grozny
3–0
FK Khimki
W
2023-05-14
FK Dinamo Moskva
0–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-05-06
FK Torpedo Moskva
1–5
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form
2023-07-22
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2023-06-03
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
1–0
FK Spartak Moskva
W
2023-05-28
FK Fakel Voronezh
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2023-05-21
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
3–0
FK Ural
W
2023-05-14
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2023-05-07
FK Krasnodar
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for:
RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
71%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
56%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

