Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 30 Jul 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
2
2
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
07 May Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
23 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
15 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Derby County FC A 0–1 L
30 Apr Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–1 D
23 Apr Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L
19 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–0 W
15 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 3–2 W
09 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Derby County FC and Oxford United FC get this one started.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Hourihane suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Oxford United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Steve Seddon. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 33' Tom Barkhuizen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Conor Hourihane gets a Yellow card.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcus Browne on 51.
  • 55' Controversy at the stadium! James Collins argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Korey Smith is replaced by Louie Sibley on 60 minute.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 70' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
  • 73' Oxford United FC make a change. Billy Bodin trudges off to be replaced by Josh Murphy on 73 minutes.
  • 78' The travelling Oxford United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 80' Conor Hourihane doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 86' Liam Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 86 minute.
  • Oxford United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC46% Draw30% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw53% Oxford United FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.