Thursday , 1 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 30 Jul 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
2
2
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
07 May Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
23 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
15 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Derby County FC A 0–1 L
30 Apr Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–1 D
23 Apr Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L
19 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–0 W
15 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 3–2 W
09 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Oxford United FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's shape.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Karl Robinson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Steve Seddon.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Barkhuizen made 382 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 47' Conor Hourihane has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 47.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Marcus Browne argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for James Collins.
  • 60' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Korey Smith departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • 65' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 70' Oxford United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Billy Bodin departs to be replaced by Josh Murphy.
  • 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 80' Conor Hourihane puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 82.
  • 86' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Liam Thompson is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 86 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Oxford United FC.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC46% Draw30% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw53% Oxford United FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.