Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 30 Jul 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
2
2
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
07 May Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
23 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
15 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Derby County FC A 0–1 L
30 Apr Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–1 D
23 Apr Rotherham United FC A 1–2 L
19 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–0 W
15 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 3–2 W
09 Apr Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Oxford United FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 28' Steve Seddon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 47' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Marcus Browne on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Oxford United FC will be frustrated.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for James Collins.
  • 60' Derby County FC ring the changes. Korey Smith has done his job and it is now time for Louie Sibley to step up.
  • 65' Eiran Cashin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 70' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Billy Bodin is replaced by Josh Murphy on 73 minute.
  • 78' With 0 assists to his name this season, James Henry is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
  • 80' Conor Hourihane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 82' Poor challenge from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he leaves the pitch. Liam Thompson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC46% Draw30% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw53% Oxford United FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.