Thursday , 2 July 2026

Portsmouth FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 11:30 UTC Fratton Park 20,125 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark O'Mahony 58' 1–0
1–1 72' Louie Sibley
Y 67' Peter Kioso

Overview

Match Preview

Portsmouth FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at Fratton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Oxford United FC H 1–1 D
02 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–6 L
28 Sep Sheffield United FC H 0–0 D
21 Sep Burnley FC A 1–2 L
15 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Sunderland AFC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
28 Sep Burnley FC H 0–0 D
21 Sep Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
14 Sep Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Preston North End FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Portsmouth FC Oxford United FC
#18 Position #22
55 Points 47
46 Played 46
14 / 13 / 19 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
49 Scored 45
64 Conceded 59
-15 GD -14
1.20 PPG 1.02
30% Win % 24%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Portsmouth FC are 18th (55 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Portsmouth FC welcome Oxford United FC for this crunch clash at Fratton Park.
  • 5' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portsmouth FC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Portsmouth FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sam Long is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portsmouth FC.
  • 35' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Kyle Edwards has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Des Buckingham might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' The 29-year-old Siriki Dembele has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Ben Nelson by Greg Leigh on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Murphy made 372 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Mark O'Mahony gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 61' Siriki Dembele is replacing Kyle Edwards for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 66' Greg Leigh is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portsmouth FC tonight.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Peter Kioso argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Mark Harris departs to be replaced by Dane Scarlett.
  • 72' Brilliant from the ! Louie Sibley makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 72.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Portsmouth FC make a change. Mark O'Mahony trudges off to be replaced by Harvey Blair on 79 minutes.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marlon Pack suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' Christian Saydee makes way for Matt Ritchie at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portsmouth FC.
  • 90' Paddy Lane gets the nod from Portsmouth FC. He replaces Elias Sorensen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Portsmouth FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Portsmouth FC or Oxford United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Portsmouth FC37% Draw30% Oxford United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Portsmouth FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Oxford United FC
63%
Portsmouth FC or Oxford United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Portsmouth FC26% Draw50% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Portsmouth FC

Handicap Portsmouth FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.