Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk, Europe 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 22 Feb 2024 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FK Shakhtar DonetskEurope at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals FK Shakhtar Donetsk

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 3–1 W
18 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
15 Feb FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 2–2 D
09 Feb FC Metz H 1–1 D
04 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
27 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 2–2 D
13 Dec FC Porto A 3–5 L
28 Nov Royal Antwerp FC H 1–0 W
07 Nov FC Barcelona H 1–0 W
25 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.05 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille54% Draw23% FK Shakhtar Donetsk23%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
77%
Draw or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
46%
Olympique de Marseille or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille40% Draw41% FK Shakhtar Donetsk19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
28%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.