Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Toulouse FC H 1–2 L
02 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 2–0 W
28 Sep Lille OSC A 1–0 W
25 Sep FC Utrecht A 1–0 W
19 Sep Angers SCO H 1–0 W
14 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W
27 Sep FC Nantes H 2–2 D
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
24 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique Lyonnais Toulouse FC
#6 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique Lyonnais are 6th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique Lyonnais Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.78 Olympique Lyonnais xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Olympique Lyonnais or Draw 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique Lyonnais40% Draw38% Toulouse FC22%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Olympique Lyonnais or Draw
78%
Draw or Toulouse FC
60%
Olympique Lyonnais or Toulouse FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique Lyonnais22% Draw66% Toulouse FC12%
Actual: Olympique Lyonnais win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.3%
1 – 0
19.8%
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.3%
3 – 1
1.2%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique Lyonnais

Handicap Olympique Lyonnais covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 25% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique Lyonnais keeps clean sheet
60%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.