Thursday , 2 July 2026

AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Toulouse FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep AS Monaco FC H 1–2 L
30 Aug FC Nantes A 0–1 L
23 Aug OGC Nice A 1–3 L
17 Aug FC Lorient H 1–0 W
17 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
24 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
16 Aug OGC Nice A 1–0 W
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W

Season Stats

AJ Auxerre Toulouse FC
#19 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AJ Auxerre are 19th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AJ Auxerre Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.52 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AJ Auxerre29% Draw40% Toulouse FC31%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
69%
Draw or Toulouse FC
71%
AJ Auxerre or Toulouse FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AJ Auxerre13% Draw69% Toulouse FC18%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.1%
0 – 1
18.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
1.4%
2 – 2
1.2%
1 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 17% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 23% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
51%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
59%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.