Sunday , 16 August 2026

Northampton Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 23 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Sixfields Stadium 7,679 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sam Hoskins 23' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Northampton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
12 Mar Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
09 Mar Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
05 Mar Peterborough United FC A 1–5 L
02 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Mar Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 Northampton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Northampton Town FC or Derby County FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Northampton Town FC33% Draw30% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Northampton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Northampton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Northampton Town FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Northampton Town FC20% Draw53% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Northampton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Northampton Town FC

Handicap Northampton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.