Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,392 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 5' 1–0
Dwight Gayle 44' 2–0
Louie Sibley 58' 3–0
Y 40' Funso Ojo
Y 90' Gavin Massey

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
  • Assistant 2 Stephen Finch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Derby County FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
24 Feb Lincoln City FC H 0–2 L
20 Feb Reading FC A 0–2 L
17 Feb Cheltenham Town FC A 2–3 L
10 Feb Stevenage FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' Louie Sibley puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Port Vale FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Alexander Mighten has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Port Vale FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Funso Ojo on 40.
  • 44' What a strike from Dwight Gayle! The score is 2-0.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Baylee Dipepa. He replaces Ethan Chislett on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan Smith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' What a strike from Louie Sibley! The score is 3-0.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Jack Shorrock is replaced by Mitchell Clark.
  • 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Martyn Waghorn. He replaces Dwight Gayle on 68 minute.
  • 73' The travelling Port Vale FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Corey Blackett-Taylor on 75 minute.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Alex Iacovitti is replaced by Nathan Smith.
  • 85' Sonny Bradley needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
  • 90' Port Vale FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Alexander Mighten is replacing James Plant for the Port Vale FC side.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC58% Draw25% Port Vale FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Port Vale FC
42%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw47% Port Vale FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.