Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Reading FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 12 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,821 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dwight Gayle 53' 1–0
1–1 56' Sam Smith
Conor Hourihane pen 70' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Reading FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Jack Forder (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Carlisle United FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/–
46-60
7/3
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 4 G 1 A
Kyrell Lisbie 3 G 1 A
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Pride Park Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. derby county fc seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Tyler Bindon is having his name booked by the referee on 10.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Wales international Charlie Savage has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. reading fc is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andy Yiadom on 32.
  • 37' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a card for Clinton Mola.
  • 53' Dwight Gayle is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 56' What a moment for Sam Smith! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' That is a card for Derby County FC. Ebou Adams will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Andy Yiadom. He receives a card.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Reading FC. Femi Azeez is replaced by Jeriel Dorsett.
  • 68' derby county fc is showing some good football. However, derby county fc are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Joel Pereira is booked for Reading FC — card on 69.
  • 70' Conor Hourihane doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 71' Corey Blackett-Taylor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sonny Bradley at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Martyn Waghorn gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Dwight Gayle and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' reading fc started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Louie Sibley on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Reading FC. Sam Smith is replaced by Kelvin Ehibhationhan.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Kelvin Abrefa. He replaces Ben Elliott on 82 minute.
  • 83' Another change for Derby County FC made on 83 minute. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing leaves to be changed by Craig Forsyth.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' The crowd applauds Harvey Knibbs as he leaves the pitch. Paul Mukairu steps in for Reading FC.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Jayden Wareham.
  • Another three points for derby county fc.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC48% Draw26% Reading FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Reading FC
52%
Derby County FC or Reading FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw46% Reading FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.