Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Reading FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 12 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,821 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dwight Gayle 53' 1–0
1–1 56' Sam Smith
Conor Hourihane pen 70' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Reading FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Jack Forder (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Carlisle United FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Reading FC is underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' That looks like a foul for a card for Tyler Bindon.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' Reading FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 37' The travelling Reading FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' It’s high time Ruben Selles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 47' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 49' It’s a booking for Reading FC player. Clinton Mola gets a card.
  • 53' GOAL! Dwight Gayle scores on 53. Assisted by Joe Ward
  • 56' What a strike from Sam Smith! The score is 1-1.
  • 57' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 59' Reading FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 63' Jeriel Dorsett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Femi Azeez on 63 minute.
  • 68' Ebou Adams needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Joel Pereira.
  • 70' What a strike from Conor Hourihane! The score is 2-1.
  • 71' Corey Blackett-Taylor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sonny Bradley on 71 minute.
  • 72' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Dwight Gayle by Martyn Waghorn on 72 minute.
  • 77' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Louie Sibley on 79.
  • 81' Kelvin Ehibhationhan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sam Smith on 81 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Reading FC. Ben Elliott is replaced by Kelvin Abrefa.
  • 83' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 83 minute.
  • 88' Reading FC is showing some good football. However, Reading FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' The whistle greets Harvey Knibbs as he departs to be replaced by Paul Mukairu.
  • 90' Jayden Wareham is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC48% Draw26% Reading FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Reading FC
52%
Derby County FC or Reading FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw46% Reading FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.