Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Northampton Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 31 Oct 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,719 HT 45' · FT 45'
Max Bird 14' 1–0
Conor Washington 22' 2–0
Max Bird 32' 3–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Northampton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Derby County FC A 0–4 L
28 Oct Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
24 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 2–2 D
21 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
07 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
03 Oct Reading FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.35 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Northampton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC70% Draw19% Northampton Town FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Northampton Town FC
30%
Derby County FC or Northampton Town FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC54% Draw39% Northampton Town FC7%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
12%
3 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
8%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4%
5 – 0
3%
0 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Northampton Town FC covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 22% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 23% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.