Thursday , 1 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Charlton Athletic FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 27 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,557 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eiran Cashin 39' 1–0
1–1 65' Alfie May pen
1–2 80' Karoy Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Charlton Athletic FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Derby County FC A 2–1 W
24 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
17 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC A 3–3 D
13 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
10 Feb Reading FC A 0–2 L
03 Feb Derby County FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Charlton Athletic FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Charlton Athletic FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw28% Charlton Athletic FC30%
Actual: Charlton Athletic FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Charlton Athletic FC
58%
Derby County FC or Charlton Athletic FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC28% Draw49% Charlton Athletic FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Charlton Athletic FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Charlton Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.